Polymarket market · Other

Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?

Open as of the last daily run · See it on Polymarket ↗

13 whales traded $76K on this market since Sep 7, 91% of their buying on Yes. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 4 minutes later would have cost 1.1¢ more per share, with 100% of the size there to buy. It hadn't resolved as of the last daily run.

The whales on this market

13 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold
Silky-Geometry
358 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 82¢ $19K —
Busy-Pavilion
5 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 79¢ $15K —
0x8633…a08d
no settled record
Yes @ 82¢ $9.0K —
0xdb1d…1c83
no settled record
Yes @ 81¢ $7.0K —
0x7466…49dc
no settled record
No @ 19¢ $6.7K —
Unlined-Disposer
2 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 82¢ $5.0K —
0x8e5c…a68a
no settled record
Yes @ 79¢ $4.5K —
Present-Mascara
8 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 64¢ $2.1K —
0x122c…821f
no settled record
Yes @ 81¢ $1.8K —
Burdensome-Judgment
11 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 82¢ $1.6K —
Careful-Bunch
151 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $1.6K
0xf07f…d791
no settled record
sold only $0 $1.5K
Sweet-Failure
6 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 82¢ $1.1K —

Where the whale money went

  1. Yes
    $66K
    91% of whale buying · 10 buyers · $3.2K sold
  2. No
    $6.7K
    9% of whale buying · 1 buyer

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Sep 7 to Nov 2, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1793689244).

About this data · run 1793689244, computed 2026-11-03 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1793689244 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed