Dual-Criticism
0xbc43c8bfbc4d77c2fc9011adad38ba43b88996d3
Profit
−$110K
return −14.6%
Settled bets
66
$754K staked
Won
39.4%
95% range 28%–52%
Mostly bets on
sports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 66 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Aug 20 – Sep 4: +$26K
Sep 4 – Sep 20: +$7.1K
Sep 20 – Oct 5: −$143K
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 5 | Bought Filip Jianu
at 41¢
Braga: Duje Ajdukovic vs Filip Jianu |
Braga: Duje Ajdukovic vs Filip Jianu | $1.6K |
| Oct 5 | Bought Lions
at 20¢
Lions vs. Panthers |
Lions vs. Panthers | $8.7K |
| Oct 5 | Bought Lions
at 19¢
Lions vs. Panthers |
Lions vs. Panthers | $17K |
| Oct 5 | Bought Lions
at 17¢
Lions vs. Panthers |
Lions vs. Panthers | $4.0K |
| Oct 5 | Bought Lions
at 17¢
Lions vs. Panthers |
Lions vs. Panthers | $6.1K |
| Oct 5 | Bought Lions
at 7¢
Lions vs. Panthers |
Lions vs. Panthers | $1.8K |
| Oct 5 | Bought Panthers
at 42¢
Lions vs. Panthers |
Lions vs. Panthers | $31K |
| Oct 5 | Bought Over
at 53¢
Lions vs. Panthers: O/U 52.5 |
Lions vs. Panthers: O/U 52.5 | $11K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.