Flaky-Campaign
0x1d1ade627d0bb0205758580b20d808573e720df6
Flaky-Campaign: +$185K on 41 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 63% (95% range 48%–76%). Skill or luck: beat the odds (1 in 40 wallets do this by luck alone).
Profit
+$185K
return +35.6%
Settled bets
41
$520K staked
Won
63.4%
95% range 48%–76%
Mostly bets on
sports
Skill or luck? Beat the odds (1 in 40 wallets do this by luck alone). We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 41 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- +$10K
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- −$70K
- Sep 20 – Oct 5
- +$245K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 6 | BUY Jaguars
@ 54¢
Spread: Jaguars (-6.5) |
Spread: Jaguars (-6.5) | $2.5K |
| Oct 6 | BUY Kings
@ 52¢
Spread: Lakers (-4.5) |
Spread: Lakers (-4.5) | $2.1K |
| Oct 5 | BUY Lions
@ 21¢
Lions vs. Panthers |
Lions vs. Panthers | $2.1K |
| Oct 4 | BUY Giants
@ 43¢
Spread: Giants (-1.5) |
Spread: Giants (-1.5) | $6.4K |
| Oct 4 | BUY Over
@ 50¢
Lions vs. Panthers: O/U 51.5 |
Lions vs. Panthers: O/U 51.5 | $5.0K |
| Oct 4 | BUY Milwaukee Brewers
@ 65¢
San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers |
San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers | $1.9K |
| Oct 3 | BUY Alden Coria
@ 43¢
UFC 332: Alden Coria vs. Imanol Rodriguez (Flyweight, Prelims) |
UFC 332: Alden Coria vs. Imanol Rodriguez (Flyweight, Prelims) | $10K |
| Oct 3 | BUY Milwaukee Brewers
@ 65¢
San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers |
San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers | $16K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.