Polymarket market · Other

Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Liquid (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group B

Resolved: Liquid won · See it on Polymarket ↗

22 whales traded $113K on this market since Nov 1, 53% of their buying on Liquid. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 4 minutes later would have cost 4.1¢ more per share, with 94% of the size there to buy. Liquid won, with 53% of the whale buying on it. Of the 17 whales whose whole position we captured, 12 made +$79K and 5 lost −$45K: +$33K between them. Biggest win: Creative-Midwife, +$26K on Liquid. Biggest loss: Rosy-Trinket, −$28K on Aurora Gaming.

The whales on this market

22 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Rosy-Trinket
187 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Aurora Gaming @ 70¢ $28K — −$28K
Melodic-Total-Fringe
9 settled bets Too few bets
Liquid @ 77¢ $2.9K $9.6K —
Creative-Midwife
218 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Liquid @ 31¢ $12K — +$26K
Infatuated-Deficit
50 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Liquid @ 32¢ $11K — +$23K
Quixotic-Brow
261 settled bets Worse than the odds
Aurora Gaming @ 41¢ $8.3K — −$8.3K
Harmonious-Pond
10 settled bets Worse than the odds
Liquid @ 59¢ $7.2K — +$5.0K
High-Inclusion
6 settled bets Too few bets
Aurora Gaming @ 70¢ $4.6K — −$4.6K
Arid-Woodwind-Divorce
3 settled bets Too few bets
Liquid @ 31¢ $3.1K — +$6.9K
Unfinished-Rebellion
23 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $3.0K —
Ill-Mind
125 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $3.0K —
Scary-Pearl
359 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Liquid @ 99.57¢ $2.9K — +$13
Spiffy-Sample
21 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Aurora Gaming @ 41¢ $2.8K — −$2.8K
Useless-Premier
39 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Liquid @ 33¢ $2.5K — +$5.1K
Tart-Rocket
15 settled bets Too few bets
Liquid @ 42¢ $2.2K — +$3.0K
Itchy-Caterpillar
193 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Liquid @ 31¢ $1.7K — +$3.7K
Enormous-Cow-Crawdad
2 settled bets Too few bets
Aurora Gaming @ 45¢ $1.6K — −$1.6K
All-Peasant-Drug
1,259 settled bets Worse than the odds
Liquid @ 42¢ $1.6K — +$2.2K
Spiteful-Crime-Misplacement
1 settled bets Too few bets
Liquid @ 32¢ $1.4K — +$3.0K
Watchful-Headache
23 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $1.2K —
Dim-Holiday-Capability
22 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Liquid @ 79¢ $1.1K — +$312
Definitive-Spat
2 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.1K —
Flaky-Integer
381 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Liquid @ 91¢ $1.0K — +$105

Where the whale money went

  1. Liquid won
    $50K
    53% of whale buying · 13 buyers · $18K sold
  2. Aurora Gaming lost
    $45K
    47% of whale buying · 5 buyers

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Nov 1 to Nov 2, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” counts only trades we captured; a dash means part of the position escaped capture. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1793602824).

About this data · run 1793602824, computed 2026-11-02 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1793602824 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed