Infatuated-Deficit

0x5e6e2c3f06686f2607b86c90e35f536e81a1be00

Polymarket

Can't tell from luck Check it on Polymarket ↗

Infatuated-Deficit: +$1.7K on 16 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 63% (95% range 39%–82%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.

Profit
+$1.7K
return +2.9%
Settled bets
16
$60K staked
Won
62.5%
95% range 39%–82%
Mostly bets on
other

Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 14 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by 2 weeks
Aug 20 – Sep 4
+$8.7K
Sep 4 – Sep 20
−$6.0K
Sep 20 – Oct 5
−$959
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0% (2,053 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 9 BUY MOUZ @ 53¢
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner $1.3K
Oct 9 BUY K27 @ 50¢
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs K27 (BO3) - 1win Private Club #2: Closed Qualifier Playoffs
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs K27 (BO3) - 1win Private Club #2: Closed Qualifier Playoffs $20K
Oct 6 BUY PARIVISION @ 39¢
Counter-Strike: G2 vs PARIVISION - Map 2 Winner
Counter-Strike: G2 vs PARIVISION - Map 2 Winner $1.9K
Oct 6 BUY 1WIN @ 35¢
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 1WIN (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 1WIN (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage $1.9K
Oct 4 BUY PARIVISION @ 46¢
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs PARIVISION (+1.5)
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs PARIVISION (+1.5) $2.3K
Oct 3 BUY Luminosity @ 39¢
Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs Astralis (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs
Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs Astralis (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs $1.8K
Oct 3 BUY Nemiga @ 57¢
Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs Nemiga (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs
Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs Nemiga (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs $3.4K
Oct 3 BUY NIP @ 60¢
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs NIP (BO3) - ROG Journey Playoffs
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs NIP (BO3) - ROG Journey Playoffs $2.6K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed