Polymarket market · Other
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?
Open as of the last daily run · See it on Polymarket ↗
16 whales traded $85K on this market since Oct 3, 91% of their buying on No. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 4 minutes later would have cost 1.8¢ more per share, with 97% of the size there to buy. It hadn't resolved as of the last daily run.
The whales on this market
16 whales| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheerful-Ephemera
74 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 71¢ | $23K | — |
| Unripe-Whisker
85 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 71¢ | $13K | — |
| Personal-Bake
40 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 71¢ | $12K | — |
| 0xb3d6…dd72
no settled record |
No @ 68¢ | $4.0K | $5.1K |
| Fearful-Congress
39 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 72¢ | $8.0K | — |
| Bleak-Full
21 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 72¢ | $3.6K | — |
| Grounded-Depression
60 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 26¢ | $2.5K | — |
| Tepid-Acquaintance
3 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 30¢ | $2.5K | — |
| Gaseous-Visit-Duckling
10 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $2.2K |
| Flustered-Impala
3 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 79¢ | $2.0K | — |
| Common-Nitrogen
11 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 22¢ | $1.6K | — |
| Exemplary-Hundred-Pendant
70 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
sold only | $0 | $1.5K |
| Valuable-Environment
4 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $1.3K |
| Lone-Glutamate
4 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $1.1K |
| Swift-Downturn
1 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 78¢ | $1.1K | — |
| Comfortable-Span
7 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 77¢ | $1.0K | — |
Where the whale money went
-
No$68K91% of whale buying · 9 buyers · $9.8K sold
-
Yes$6.6K9% of whale buying · 3 buyers · $1.5K sold
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 3 to Oct 29, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the run (1793257219).
More other markets the whales bet on
All Other →| Market | Whale money | Whales | Result | Last whale bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | $2.65M | 303 | Open | |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | $780K | 96 | Open | |
| Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? | $91K | 18 | Open | |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31? | $211K | 15 | Open | |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | $119K | 34 | Open | |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? | $136K | 24 | Open | |
| Will there be no Hormuz agreement? | $90K | 14 | Open | |
| Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series? | $147K | 18 | Won: Yes |