Polymarket market · Politics & macro
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?
Open as of the last daily run · See it on Polymarket ↗
17 whales traded $50K on this market since Sep 22, 62% of their buying on Yes. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 4 minutes later would have cost 2.4¢ more per share, with 99% of the size there to buy. It hadn't resolved as of the last daily run.
The whales on this market
17 whales| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0x111f…af00
no settled record |
Yes @ 73¢ | $12K | — |
| Yellow-Dress-Ballet
23 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 62¢ | $6.0K | — |
| 0xc8b9…b836
9 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 29¢ | $4.0K | — |
| Each-Jeans
12 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 33¢ | $3.1K | — |
| Fake-Bitter
1,584 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 39¢ | $2.9K | — |
| 0x76f9…f701
no settled record |
Yes @ 72¢ | $1.4K | $1.2K |
| Same-Kidney
115 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 62¢ | $2.5K | — |
| Functional-Heartthrob
2 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 27¢ | $1.2K | $1.3K |
| Submissive-Clan
12 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 38¢ | $2.3K | — |
| Far-Off-Skean
7 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 37¢ | $2.2K | — |
| Dead-Lava
13 settled bets Beat the odds* |
No @ 31¢ | $1.9K | — |
| Lonely-Jacket
3 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $1.9K |
| Silver-Angora
4 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $1.8K |
| 0xef2f…8b9c
no settled record |
Yes @ 62¢ | $1.5K | — |
| Silky-Geometry
313 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 61¢ | $1.3K | — |
| Attached-Pump
35 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
sold only | $0 | $1.3K |
| Lively-Provider
3 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 69¢ | $1.0K | — |
Where the whale money went
-
Yes$26K62% of whale buying · 8 buyers · $6.1K sold
-
No$16K38% of whale buying · 7 buyers · $1.3K sold
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Sep 22 to Oct 30, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the run (1793343609).
More politics & macro markets the whales bet on
All Politics & macro →| Market | Whale money | Whales | Result | Last whale bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | $90K | 15 | Open | |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | $519K | 47 | Open | |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? | $131K | 26 | Open | |
| Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | $141K | 28 | Open | |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? | $63K | 15 | Open | |
| Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? | $69K | 19 | Open | |
| Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? | $57K | 12 | Open | |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | $123K | 27 | Open |