Polymarket market · Politics & macro

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Open as of the last daily run · See it on Polymarket ↗

52 whales put $365K into this market since Aug 20, 93% of their buying on Yes. It hadn't resolved as of the last daily run.

The whales on this market

biggest 25 of 52
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold
Fatherly-Stamen
5 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 90¢ $41K —
Angry-Evaluation
1 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $31K
0x15fd…cc95
no settled record
Yes @ 88¢ $24K —
Querulous-Futon
48 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 93¢ $2.7K $19K
Lone-Glutamate
4 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 93¢ $12K $4.4K
Forceful-Manufacturing
7 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 89¢ $7.6K $7.6K
0x4c68…6162
2 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 88¢ $15K —
Married-Essay
2 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 92¢ $13K —
Immaterial-Yellowjacket
3 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 13¢ $2.6K $9.5K
Empty-Ball
2 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 93¢ $12K —
Closed-Barracks
2 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 88¢ $10K —
0x238d…70d8
no settled record
Yes @ 91¢ $10K —
Scratchy-Loading
3 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 93¢ $8.4K —
0x10b3…40d4
no settled record
No @ 8¢ $8.0K —
0xb905…1640
no settled record
Yes @ 88¢ $7.9K —
0x0577…081f
1 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 89¢ $7.7K —
Powerful-Election
19 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 88¢ $7.0K —
0x4465…4fdf
no settled record
Yes @ 87¢ $7.0K —
0x44a0…c3b9
no settled record
Yes @ 91¢ $6.2K —
Blaring-Surge
19 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 89¢ $5.5K —
Imaginative-River
41 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 91¢ $5.0K —
True-Parallelogram
6 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 93¢ $4.7K —
Harmless-Baseball
67 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $4.6K
0xb6ce…895d
2 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 88¢ $4.3K —
Unequaled-Glow
2 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $4.2K

Where the whale money went

  1. Yes
    $242K
    93% of whale buying · 33 buyers · $101K sold
  2. No
    $20K
    8% of whale buying · 8 buyers
  3. Yes
    $0
    0% of whale buying · 0 buyers · $2.7K sold

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Aug 20 to Oct 11, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1791710133).

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed