Polymarket market · Sports

Eagles vs. Commanders: O/U 42.5

Resolved: Under won · See it on Polymarket ↗

3 whales traded $131K on this market since Nov 2, 58% of their buying on Over. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 5 minutes later would have cost 1.8¢ more per share, with 89% of the size there to buy. Under won, with 42% of the whale buying on it. Of the 3 whales whose whole position we captured, 2 made +$45K and 1 lost −$76K: −$31K between them. Biggest win: Substantial-Service, +$43K on Under. Biggest loss: Dual-Criticism, −$76K on Over.

The whales on this market

3 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Dual-Criticism
145 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Over @ 45¢ $76K — −$76K
Substantial-Service
1,180 settled bets Beat the odds*
Under @ 55¢ $52K — +$43K
Fake-Bitter
1,706 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Under @ 56¢ $2.5K — +$2.0K

Where the whale money went

  1. Over lost
    $76K
    58% of whale buying · 1 buyer
  2. Under won
    $55K
    42% of whale buying · 2 buyers

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Nov 2, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” counts only trades we captured; a dash means part of the position escaped capture. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1793602824).

More sports markets the whales bet on

All Sports →
MarketWhale moneyWhales ResultLast whale bet
Eagles vs. Commanders $529K 52 Won: Commanders
Eagles vs. Commanders: O/U 40.5 $134K 10 Won: Under
Spread: Commanders (-6.5) $239K 14 Won: Commanders
Spread: Commanders (-5.5) $103K 11 Won: Commanders
Nets vs. Pacers $69K 19 Won: Nets
Chiefs vs. Broncos $369K 38 Won: Broncos
Patriots vs. Dolphins $228K 21 Won: Patriots
Chargers vs. Rams $415K 8 Won: Rams
About this data · run 1793602824, computed 2026-11-02 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1793602824 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed