Polymarket market · Politics & macro

Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Open as of the last daily run · See it on Polymarket ↗

33 whales put $176K into this market since Aug 20, 86% of their buying on Yes. It hadn't resolved as of the last daily run.

The whales on this market

biggest 25 of 33
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold
0xbf93…2fd7
no settled record
Yes @ 62¢ $29K —
0x9ba9…3ce9
no settled record
Yes @ 65¢ $22K —
Specific-Overclocking
9 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 65¢ $7.6K $7.9K
Silky-Geometry
205 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 65¢ $15K —
Fearless-Misnomer
35 settled bets Worse than the odds
Yes @ 58¢ $8.3K $1.8K
Closed-Application
3 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 35¢ $7.1K —
Common-Nitrogen
9 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 59¢ $6.0K —
0x1b90…c4f8
no settled record
Yes @ 58¢ $5.5K —
0x8258…f208
no settled record
Yes @ 66¢ $5.0K —
Complex-Propane
1 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 37¢ $4.4K —
0x5274…9f96
no settled record
Yes @ 65¢ $4.0K —
0xb827…401e
no settled record
Yes @ 65¢ $4.0K —
Flashy-Bid
3 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 50¢ $2.7K $1.3K
0xe2d5…8f4a
no settled record
Yes @ 66¢ $3.9K —
0x8e5c…a68a
no settled record
Yes @ 55¢ $3.5K —
0x75bb…0ac5
no settled record
Yes @ 63¢ $3.2K —
Wry-Tiara
1 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 65¢ $3.0K —
0x983e…55ff
no settled record
Yes @ 64¢ $3.0K —
0x4103…1c17
no settled record
sold only $0 $2.9K
Pastel-Method
10 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $2.7K
0xb5d1…6e35
no settled record
Yes @ 52¢ $2.3K —
0xf26c…ebe5
no settled record
Yes @ 52¢ $2.3K —
0x1b5a…a95b
no settled record
Yes @ 64¢ $2.3K —
0xbd30…79b5
no settled record
Yes @ 63¢ $2.0K —
Whimsical-Seller
2 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 48¢ $1.9K —

Where the whale money went

  1. Yes
    $133K
    86% of whale buying · 21 buyers · $16K sold
  2. No
    $20K
    13% of whale buying · 7 buyers · $5.1K sold
  3. Yes
    $2.0K
    1% of whale buying · 1 buyer

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Aug 20 to Oct 9, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1791710133).

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed