Polymarket market · Politics & macro

Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?

Open as of the last daily run · See it on Polymarket ↗

22 whales put $103K into this market since Sep 6, 89% of their buying on Yes. It hadn't resolved as of the last daily run.

The whales on this market

22 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold
Wooden-Prescription
7 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 55¢ $22K —
Submissive-Clan
10 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $13K
Dearest-Agenda
26 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 59¢ $12K —
Lively-Provider
2 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 46¢ $9.5K —
Functional-Heartthrob
1 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 52¢ $8.1K —
0xc79d…0203
no settled record
Yes @ 62¢ $5.0K —
Insistent-Voice
4 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 55¢ $4.1K —
0xb5d1…6e35
no settled record
Yes @ 56¢ $3.8K —
Flippant-Speech
3 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 58¢ $2.9K —
Silky-Geometry
205 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 55¢ $2.7K —
Far-Off-Skean
6 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 60¢ $2.6K —
0x8181…a32c
no settled record
Yes @ 63¢ $2.5K —
Wrong-Fairy
1 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 63¢ $2.1K —
0x7b60…f259
no settled record
Yes @ 60¢ $1.8K —
0x8376…3d2b
no settled record
sold only $0 $1.7K
0xe5b4…1e3e
no settled record
Yes @ 62¢ $1.5K —
Lean-Attraction
5 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 62¢ $1.4K —
0xbd00…4fc0
no settled record
Yes @ 52¢ $1.3K —
0x1b90…c4f8
no settled record
Yes @ 57¢ $1.2K —
Unique-Primary
6 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 60¢ $1.2K —
0x13fb…9cf8
no settled record
Yes @ 63¢ $1.2K —
Advanced-Mailer
16 settled bets Worse than the odds
Yes @ 56¢ $1.1K —

Where the whale money went

  1. Yes
    $78K
    89% of whale buying · 19 buyers · $15K sold
  2. No
    $9.5K
    11% of whale buying · 1 buyer

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Sep 6 to Oct 9, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1791710133).

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed