Polymarket market · Politics & macro
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Open as of the last daily run · See it on Polymarket ↗
12 whales traded $53K on this market since Aug 22, 72% of their buying on No. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 5 minutes later would have cost 0.6¢ more per share, with 46% of the size there to buy. It hadn't resolved as of the last daily run.
The whales on this market
12 whales| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold |
|---|---|---|---|
| Empty-Ball
2 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 96¢ | $14K | — |
| 0x152f…a549
no settled record |
Yes @ 5¢ | $10K | — |
| Closed-Barracks
2 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 95¢ | $6.6K | — |
| Tense-Precedent
13 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 96¢ | $2.6K | $4.0K |
| Careful-Bunch
83 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 96¢ | $2.8K | $2.1K |
| 0x2ac9…8469
no settled record |
No @ 96¢ | $2.0K | — |
| 0x41b4…dad2
no settled record |
Yes @ 5¢ | $1.9K | — |
| Playful-Circulation
6 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $1.9K |
| Crazy-Fishmonger
4 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 95¢ | $1.4K | — |
| Appropriate-Banner
11 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 96¢ | $1.2K | — |
| Attached-Example-Anesthesiologist
64 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 95¢ | $1.1K | — |
| Loathsome-Ox
2 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $1.0K |
Where the whale money went
-
No$32K72% of whale buying · 8 buyers · $9.1K sold
-
Yes$12K28% of whale buying · 2 buyers
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Aug 22 to Oct 24, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the run (1792825211).
More politics & macro markets the whales bet on
All Politics & macro →| Market | Whale money | Whales | Result | Last whale bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Another Fed rate hike in 2026? | $75K | 21 | Open | |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | $224K | 39 | Open | |
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | $60K | 9 | Open | |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | $701K | 79 | Open | |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | $409K | 55 | Open | |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | $251K | 43 | Open | |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | $2.50M | 161 | Open | |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | $1.71M | 220 | Open |
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?