Polymarket market · Politics & macro
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?
Open as of the last daily run · See it on Polymarket ↗
9 whales traded $66K on this market since Oct 28, 82% of their buying on Yes. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 3 minutes later would have cost 0.4¢ more per share, with 98% of the size there to buy. It hadn't resolved as of the last daily run.
The whales on this market
9 whales| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fearless-Misnomer
77 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 23¢ | $25K | — |
| Double-Scrim
3 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 24¢ | $13K | — |
| Near-Familiar
9 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 23¢ | $10K | — |
| Fearful-Congress
48 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 78¢ | $6.4K | — |
| Simple-Tradition
58 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 76¢ | $4.4K | — |
| 0x9004…ce4b
no settled record |
Yes @ 23¢ | $2.6K | — |
| Enraged-Invite
3 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $2.1K |
| Rare-Azimuth
8 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 77¢ | $1.0K | — |
| Yellow-Bother
3 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 23¢ | $1.0K | — |
Where the whale money went
-
Yes$52K82% of whale buying · 5 buyers
-
No$12K19% of whale buying · 3 buyers · $2.1K sold
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 28 to Nov 1, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the run (1793516413).
More politics & macro markets the whales bet on
All Politics & macro →| Market | Whale money | Whales | Result | Last whale bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | $102K | 18 | Open | |
| Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | $72K | 22 | Open | |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | $608K | 91 | Open | |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | $106K | 31 | Open | |
| Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | $133K | 31 | Won: Yes | |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | $951K | 97 | Open | |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | $2.23M | 157 | Open | |
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | $193K | 36 | Open |