Polymarket market · Politics & macro
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House
Open as of the last daily run · See it on Polymarket ↗
9 whales traded $111K on this market since Sep 8, 97% of their buying on No. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 4 minutes later would have cost 0.5¢ more per share, with 65% of the size there to buy. It hadn't resolved as of the last daily run.
The whales on this market
9 whales| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tinted-Consciousness
19 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 99.28¢ | $66K | — |
| Bouncy-Office-Onset
11 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 97¢ | $14K | — |
| Rundown-Regard
12 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 99.15¢ | $14K | — |
| Harsh-Macro
105 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 99¢ | $5.0K | — |
| Velvety-Burn
148 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 99.06¢ | $4.5K | — |
| 0xbaa7…b6be
no settled record |
No @ 99.1¢ | $1.4K | $1.4K |
| 0x9e68…d03f
no settled record |
Yes @ 4¢ | $2.0K | — |
| 0x5ad6…d276
no settled record |
No @ 99.3¢ | $1.9K | — |
| 0xb664…8669
no settled record |
Yes @ 1¢ | $1.1K | — |
Where the whale money went
-
No$106K97% of whale buying · 7 buyers · $1.4K sold
-
Yes$3.1K3% of whale buying · 2 buyers
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Sep 8 to Oct 28, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the run (1793257219).
More politics & macro markets the whales bet on
All Politics & macro →| Market | Whale money | Whales | Result | Last whale bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | $176K | 41 | Open | |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | $3.60M | 255 | Won: Yes | |
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | $147K | 32 | Open | |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | $492K | 45 | Open | |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | $120K | 27 | Open | |
| Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? | $117K | 7 | Open | |
| Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | $84K | 13 | Open | |
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | $85K | 20 | Open |