Polymarket market · Politics & macro
Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
Open as of the last daily run · See it on Polymarket ↗
12 whales traded $102K on this market since Oct 30, 67% of their buying on Yes. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 4 minutes later would have cost 0.0¢ more per share, with 100% of the size there to buy. It hadn't resolved as of the last daily run.
The whales on this market
12 whales| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold |
|---|---|---|---|
| Upset-Subject
1 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $74K |
| Altruistic-Gambling
12 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $8.0K |
| Red-Mug-Neuropsychiatry
1 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 11¢ | $5.5K | — |
| Lean-Pantyhose
9 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 15¢ | $2.9K | — |
| Rare-Azimuth
8 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 89¢ | $2.4K | — |
| Shocked-Counseling
3 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 11¢ | $2.2K | — |
| 0xb8cc…a005
no settled record |
sold only | $0 | $1.3K |
| Giving-Tick-Innervation
4 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 89¢ | $1.2K | — |
| 0xb03a…7d42
no settled record |
sold only | $0 | $1.2K |
| Advanced-Mailer
35 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 87¢ | $1.1K | — |
| 0x9004…ce4b
no settled record |
Yes @ 11¢ | $1.1K | — |
| White-Helium-Call
3 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 89¢ | $1.0K | — |
Where the whale money went
-
Yes$12K67% of whale buying · 4 buyers
-
No$5.8K33% of whale buying · 4 buyers · $85K sold
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 30 to Oct 31, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the run (1793516413).
More politics & macro markets the whales bet on
All Politics & macro →| Market | Whale money | Whales | Result | Last whale bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | $270K | 39 | Won: No | |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | $77K | 15 | Open | |
| Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | $158K | 23 | Open | |
| Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? | $231K | 45 | Open | |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | $1.45M | 81 | Open | |
| Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? | $142K | 18 | Open | |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? | $236K | 21 | Open | |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | $577K | 65 | Open |