Polymarket market · Politics & macro
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?
Open as of the last daily run · See it on Polymarket ↗
17 whales traded $52K on this market since Sep 18, 96% of their buying on Yes. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 4 minutes later would have cost 0.8¢ more per share, with 100% of the size there to buy. It hadn't resolved as of the last daily run.
The whales on this market
17 whales| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold |
|---|---|---|---|
| Closed-Barracks
4 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 91¢ | $9.7K | — |
| Married-Essay
2 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 92¢ | $7.1K | — |
| 0x0338…4426
no settled record |
Yes @ 81¢ | $4.9K | — |
| Powerful-Election
23 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 91¢ | $4.6K | — |
| Impassioned-Watch
29 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 94¢ | $4.1K | — |
| 0xd576…d5e3
no settled record |
Yes @ 87¢ | $3.3K | — |
| Careful-Bunch
151 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 92¢ | $3.3K | — |
| Positive-Tolerant
3 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 19¢ | $2.2K | — |
| 0xc5c3…2c66
no settled record |
Yes @ 92¢ | $2.0K | — |
| Known-Hydrolyse
158 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 94¢ | $1.9K | — |
| 0x8236…664d
no settled record |
Yes @ 92¢ | $1.8K | — |
| Fruitful-Parade
4 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 89¢ | $1.8K | — |
| 0x76f9…f701
no settled record |
sold only | $0 | $1.5K |
| Submissive-Clan
12 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 87¢ | $1.2K | — |
| Lean-Pantyhose
12 settled bets Worse than the odds |
Yes @ 90¢ | $1.1K | — |
| Known-Use
1 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $1.0K |
| 0x4f22…6482
no settled record |
Yes @ 89¢ | $1.0K | — |
Where the whale money went
-
Yes$48K96% of whale buying · 14 buyers · $2.5K sold
-
No$2.2K5% of whale buying · 1 buyer
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Sep 18 to Nov 2, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the run (1793689244).
More politics & macro markets the whales bet on
All Politics & macro →| Market | Whale money | Whales | Result | Last whale bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? | $184K | 19 | Open | |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | $228K | 17 | Open | |
| Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | $278K | 37 | Won: Yes | |
| Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | $85K | 25 | Won: No | |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | $112K | 33 | Open | |
| Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? | $83K | 16 | Open | |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House | $116K | 10 | Open | |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | $84K | 26 | Open |