Polymarket market · Politics & macro
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?
Open as of the last daily run · See it on Polymarket ↗
13 whales traded $52K on this market since Sep 18, 91% of their buying on Yes. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 5 minutes later would have cost 0.8¢ more per share, with 100% of the size there to buy. It hadn't resolved as of the last daily run.
The whales on this market
13 whales| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mortified-Roast
15 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 88¢ | $22K | — |
| Fearful-Congress
36 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
sold only | $0 | $7.0K |
| Spicy-Print
3 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 88¢ | $1.8K | $1.7K |
| 0xce08…c8dc
no settled record |
sold only | $0 | $3.2K |
| Attached-Pump
33 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 70¢ | $1.2K | $1.5K |
| Incomplete-Reorganisation
1 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 92¢ | $2.6K | — |
| 0x0490…c81f
no settled record |
sold only | $0 | $2.3K |
| Easy-Going-Plot
1 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 88¢ | $2.0K | — |
| 0x9c99…8586
no settled record |
Yes @ 70¢ | $1.9K | — |
| 0x2e59…9a2c
no settled record |
No @ 29¢ | $1.3K | — |
| Grounded-Depression
54 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 74¢ | $1.3K | — |
| 0x97f7…48f7
no settled record |
No @ 23¢ | $1.1K | — |
| 0x25ad…3325
no settled record |
No @ 12¢ | $1.0K | — |
Where the whale money went
-
Yes$33K91% of whale buying · 7 buyers · $16K sold
-
No$3.4K9% of whale buying · 3 buyers
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Sep 18 to Oct 27, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the run (1793084411).
More politics & macro markets the whales bet on
All Politics & macro →| Market | Whale money | Whales | Result | Last whale bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | $136K | 29 | Open | |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? | $543K | 23 | Open | |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | $910K | 98 | Open | |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | $234K | 40 | Open | |
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | $113K | 29 | Open | |
| Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | $59K | 17 | Open | |
| Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | $74K | 10 | Open | |
| Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? | $78K | 16 | Won: Yes |
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?