Polymarket market · Other
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?
Open as of the last daily run · See it on Polymarket ↗
8 whales traded $58K on this market since Oct 9, 81% of their buying on Yes. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 4 minutes later would have cost 1.7¢ more per share, with 99% of the size there to buy. It hadn't resolved as of the last daily run.
The whales on this market
8 whales| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold |
|---|---|---|---|
| Meaty-Place
2 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 78¢ | $16K | — |
| Personal-Bake
22 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 77¢ | $13K | $1.4K |
| Attached-Pump
22 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 77¢ | $6.3K | $1.7K |
| Grounded-Depression
38 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 28¢ | $3.8K | $2.1K |
| Accurate-Spirit
6 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $5.4K |
| Webbed-Edible
4 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 73¢ | $3.7K | — |
| Rapid-Jicama
1 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 77¢ | $3.2K | — |
| Familiar-Stallion
2 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 73¢ | $1.4K | — |
Where the whale money went
-
Yes$39K81% of whale buying · 6 buyers · $5.4K sold
-
No$9.0K19% of whale buying · 3 buyers · $5.1K sold
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 9 to Oct 16, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the run (1792220425).
More other markets the whales bet on
All Other →| Market | Whale money | Whales | Result | Last whale bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | $537K | 60 | Open | |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | $82K | 30 | Open | |
| Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | $53K | 16 | Open | |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | $361K | 54 | Open | |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? | $164K | 30 | Open | |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? | $442K | 51 | Open | |
| Counter-Strike: NIP vs Liquid (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat III Playoffs | $54K | 15 | Won: NIP | |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? | $244K | 35 | Open |