Polymarket market · Politics & macro
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
Open as of the last daily run · See it on Polymarket ↗
11 whales traded $50K on this market since Sep 9, 75% of their buying on No. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 4 minutes later would have cost 2.2¢ more per share, with 100% of the size there to buy. It hadn't resolved as of the last daily run.
The whales on this market
11 whales| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sociable-Rooster
28 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 73¢ | $22K | — |
| 0x44d9…4c1a
no settled record |
Yes @ 29¢ | $7.1K | — |
| Darling-Overweight-Purse
1 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 74¢ | $5.0K | — |
| Stained-Cynic
3 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 67¢ | $3.6K | — |
| 0xcc50…df9b
no settled record |
Yes @ 29¢ | $2.9K | — |
| 0xb5d1…6e35
no settled record |
Yes @ 33¢ | $2.8K | — |
| Advanced-Mailer
20 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 74¢ | $2.2K | — |
| Attached-Example-Anesthesiologist
64 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 76¢ | $1.2K | — |
| Dearest-Agenda
26 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 71¢ | $1.2K | — |
| Crazy-Fishmonger
4 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 69¢ | $1.1K | — |
| Velvety-Burn
113 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 69¢ | $1.0K | — |
Where the whale money went
-
No$37K75% of whale buying · 8 buyers
-
Yes$13K25% of whale buying · 3 buyers
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Sep 9 to Oct 25, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the run (1792911646).
More politics & macro markets the whales bet on
All Politics & macro →| Market | Whale money | Whales | Result | Last whale bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | $64K | 11 | Open | |
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | $112K | 27 | Open | |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | $206K | 41 | Open | |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | $629K | 60 | Open | |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | $2.56M | 164 | Open | |
| Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | $168K | 33 | Open | |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | $1.82M | 228 | Open | |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | $2.58M | 303 | Open |
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?