Polymarket market · Politics & macro

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House

Open as of the last weekly run · See it on Polymarket ↗

16 whales put $155K into this market since Aug 20, 88% of their buying on Yes. It hadn't resolved as of the last weekly run.

The whales on this market

16 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold
0xfb66…4403
no settled record
Yes @ 28¢ $32K —
Well-Informed-Ischemia
1 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 29¢ $29K —
Bulky-Antler
8 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 30¢ $17K $3.5K
Moist-Dame
18 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 72¢ $7.5K $12K
0x4488…e319
69 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 28¢ $19K —
0xcfee…ffcd
no settled record
Yes @ 36¢ $3.2K $10K
0xb911…0d3e
no settled record
Yes @ 29¢ $5.0K —
0x49b3…6486
no settled record
sold only $0 $2.8K
Ample-Tolerance
2 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 69¢ $2.4K —
0xa1ed…e774
no settled record
Yes @ 38¢ $2.0K —
Advanced-Mailer
13 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 72¢ $1.8K —
Fabulous-Online
8 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 30¢ $1.5K —
Silky-Geometry
191 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 71¢ $1.5K —
Dental-Liquid
24 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 65¢ $1.4K —
0xbfee…7272
no settled record
Yes @ 27¢ $1.4K —
Careful-Bunch
77 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 62¢ $1.0K —

Where the whale money went

  1. Yes
    $111K
    88% of whale buying · 9 buyers · $29K sold
  2. No
    $16K
    12% of whale buying · 6 buyers

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Aug 20 to Oct 8, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the weekly run. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the weekly run (1791223421).

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed