Polymarket market · Other
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?
Open as of the last daily run · See it on Polymarket ↗
7 whales traded $116K on this market since Oct 17, 96% of their buying on Yes. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 3 minutes later would have cost 4.5¢ more per share, with 31% of the size there to buy. It hadn't resolved as of the last daily run.
The whales on this market
7 whales| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jaded-Comb-Club
1 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 75¢ | $80K | — |
| Personal-Bake
40 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 71¢ | $8.7K | $11K |
| Remarkable-Underpass
22 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 76¢ | $11K | — |
| Complete-Perch
1 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 34¢ | $1.5K | — |
| Wordy-Duel
14 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 22¢ | $1.3K | — |
| Quizzical-Arrogance
1 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 69¢ | $1.3K | — |
| Fearful-Congress
39 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 17¢ | $1.2K | — |
Where the whale money went
-
Yes$101K96% of whale buying · 4 buyers · $11K sold
-
No$4.0K4% of whale buying · 3 buyers
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 17 to Oct 29, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the run (1793257219).
More other markets the whales bet on
All Other →| Market | Whale money | Whales | Result | Last whale bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | $674K | 55 | Open | |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | $2.68M | 138 | Open | |
| Kennesaw State vs. Middle Tennessee | $186K | 8 | Won: Kennesaw State | |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? | $174K | 31 | Open | |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | $167K | 49 | Open | |
| Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | $171K | 22 | Open | |
| Will Liverpool FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw? | $67K | 5 | Won: Yes | |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | $373K | 83 | Open |