Polymarket market · Politics & macro

Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?

Open as of the last daily run · See it on Polymarket ↗

10 whales traded $52K on this market since Sep 10, 61% of their buying on No. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 3 minutes later would have cost 2.2¢ more per share, with 84% of the size there to buy. It hadn't resolved as of the last daily run.

The whales on this market

10 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold
0x9703…69c2
no settled record
No @ 82¢ $21K —
0xaab9…a08d
no settled record
Yes @ 13¢ $7.0K —
Lively-Provider
3 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 86¢ $6.2K —
Common-Nitrogen
11 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 17¢ $5.3K —
Wonderful-Scotch
7 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 14¢ $4.0K —
Silky-Geometry
309 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 84¢ $2.8K —
Gracious-Fame
9 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 23¢ $1.7K —
Descriptive-Embossing
2 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.4K
0xcfca…8b3a
no settled record
sold only $0 $1.3K
0xa105…b88d
no settled record
Yes @ 16¢ $1.2K —

Where the whale money went

  1. No
    $30K
    61% of whale buying · 3 buyers · $1.4K sold
  2. Yes
    $19K
    39% of whale buying · 5 buyers · $1.3K sold

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Sep 10 to Oct 28, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1793257219).

About this data · run 1793257219, computed 2026-10-29 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1793257219 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed