Polymarket market · Politics & macro
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?
Open as of the last daily run · See it on Polymarket ↗
13 whales traded $50K on this market since Aug 20, 64% of their buying on No. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 4 minutes later would have cost 1.0¢ more per share, with 100% of the size there to buy. It hadn't resolved as of the last daily run.
The whales on this market
13 whales| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0x4e05…8aba
no settled record |
No @ 88¢ | $22K | — |
| 0xf5aa…fd4a
no settled record |
No @ 89¢ | $4.5K | — |
| 0x93fb…3e4a
no settled record |
Yes @ 11¢ | $4.4K | — |
| 0x9603…051d
no settled record |
Yes @ 11¢ | $3.4K | — |
| 0x2252…17c3
no settled record |
Yes @ 13¢ | $2.9K | — |
| 0x2cb0…6554
no settled record |
Yes @ 13¢ | $2.9K | — |
| Prickly-Signup
1 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 88¢ | $2.6K | — |
| 0x7b8d…76b2
no settled record |
No @ 87¢ | $1.7K | — |
| Harsh-Macro
97 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 87¢ | $1.6K | — |
| 0x2f56…6cfc
no settled record |
Yes @ 10¢ | $1.5K | — |
| 0x44f5…63ac
no settled record |
Yes @ 14¢ | $1.2K | — |
| 0x00b8…6a9b
no settled record |
Yes @ 12¢ | $1.1K | — |
| 0xadf7…fb22
no settled record |
Yes @ 10¢ | $1.0K | — |
Where the whale money went
-
No$32K64% of whale buying · 5 buyers
-
Yes$18K36% of whale buying · 8 buyers
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Aug 20 to Oct 27, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the run (1793170821).
More politics & macro markets the whales bet on
All Politics & macro →| Market | Whale money | Whales | Result | Last whale bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | $636K | 62 | Open | |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? | $240K | 16 | Open | |
| Trump out as President before 2027? | $250K | 30 | Open | |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | $308K | 52 | Open | |
| Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? | $213K | 39 | Open | |
| Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? | $84K | 25 | Open | |
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | $140K | 30 | Open | |
| Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | $62K | 19 | Open |
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?