Polymarket market · Sports

Eagles vs. Commanders: O/U 40.5

Resolved: Under won · See it on Polymarket ↗

10 whales traded $134K on this market since Nov 2, 96% of their buying on Over. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 5 minutes later would have cost 1.6¢ more per share, with 100% of the size there to buy. Under won, with 4% of the whale buying on it. Of the 9 whales whose whole position we captured, 3 made +$3.8K and 6 lost −$127K: −$123K between them. Biggest win: Incomplete-Suppression-Theory, +$2.5K on Under. Biggest loss: Mountainous-Heat-Reservoir, −$45K on Over.

The whales on this market

10 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Mountainous-Heat-Reservoir
234 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Over @ 51¢ $45K — −$45K
Flaky-Campaign
84 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Over @ 51¢ $42K — −$42K
Glaring-Salt
2,322 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Over @ 50¢ $22K — −$22K
Wordy-Littleneck
370 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Over @ 50¢ $15K — −$15K
Incomplete-Suppression-Theory
73 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Under @ 50¢ $2.5K — +$2.5K
Unacceptable-Barn
142 settled bets Beat the odds*
Under @ 89¢ $2.0K — +$247
Agitated-Bricklaying
600 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Over @ 51¢ $1.9K — −$1.9K
0x2892…c2b7
8 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.5K —
Dual-Criticism
145 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Over @ 51¢ $1.1K — −$1.1K
Known-Chasuble
4 settled bets Too few bets
Under @ 50¢ $1.0K — +$1.0K

Where the whale money went

  1. Over lost
    $127K
    96% of whale buying · 6 buyers · $1.5K sold
  2. Under won
    $5.5K
    4% of whale buying · 3 buyers

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Nov 2, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” counts only trades we captured; a dash means part of the position escaped capture. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1793602824).

More sports markets the whales bet on

All Sports →
MarketWhale moneyWhales ResultLast whale bet
Eagles vs. Commanders $529K 52 Won: Commanders
Spread: Commanders (-6.5) $239K 14 Won: Commanders
Spread: Commanders (-5.5) $103K 11 Won: Commanders
Eagles vs. Commanders: O/U 42.5 $131K 3 Won: Under
Clippers vs. Warriors $183K 39 Won: Warriors
Raptors vs. Lakers $212K 31 Won: Lakers
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Viktorija Golubic vs Katie Boulter $52K 7 Open
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-11-02? $235K 8 Open
About this data · run 1793602824, computed 2026-11-02 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1793602824 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed