Polymarket market · Politics & macro

Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?

Open as of the last weekly run · See it on Polymarket ↗

11 whales put $62K into this market since Sep 7, 63% of their buying on No. It hadn't resolved as of the last weekly run.

The whales on this market

11 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold
Closed-Application
3 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 28¢ $17K $3.9K
Whimsical-Terminal
6 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $7.7K
Fatal-Doubt
1 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $6.6K
Lively-Provider
3 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 34¢ $5.6K —
0xb5d1…6e35
no settled record
Yes @ 70¢ $5.5K —
Forceful-Manufacturing
7 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 71¢ $1.1K $4.1K
0xc902…cd14
no settled record
Yes @ 59¢ $4.9K —
0x8181…a32c
no settled record
Yes @ 58¢ $2.0K —
Careful-Bunch
77 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 71¢ $1.4K —
0x5a61…1787
no settled record
No @ 30¢ $1.2K —
0x011f…1122
no settled record
No @ 37¢ $1.1K —

Where the whale money went

  1. No
    $25K
    63% of whale buying · 4 buyers · $3.9K sold
  2. Yes
    $15K
    37% of whale buying · 5 buyers · $18K sold

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Sep 7 to Oct 8, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the weekly run. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the weekly run (1791223421).

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed