Polymarket market · Other

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A

Resolved: Natus Vincere won · See it on Polymarket ↗

48 whales traded $429K on this market since Nov 1, 59% of their buying on Team Falcons. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 4 minutes later would have cost 0.6¢ more per share, with 100% of the size there to buy. Natus Vincere won, with 41% of the whale buying on it. Of the 46 whales whose whole position we captured, 21 made +$189K and 25 lost −$248K: −$59K between them. Biggest win: Qualified-Expedition-Chaplain, +$87K on Natus Vincere. Biggest loss: Hollow-Maggot-Sense, −$98K on Team Falcons.

The whales on this market

biggest 25 of 48
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Hollow-Maggot-Sense
1,607 settled bets Beat the odds*
Team Falcons @ 55¢ $98K — −$98K
Spiffy-Opportunity-Engagement
570 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Team Falcons @ 47¢ $72K — −$72K
Qualified-Expedition-Chaplain
7 settled bets Too few bets
Natus Vincere @ 44¢ $68K — +$87K
Quixotic-Brow
264 settled bets Worse than the odds
Team Falcons @ 55¢ $19K — −$19K
Tall-Taxicab-Reply
51 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Natus Vincere @ 46¢ $18K — +$22K
Stiff-Desktop
57 settled bets Beat the odds*
Natus Vincere @ 44¢ $16K — +$20K
Blue-Surge-Pause
4 settled bets Too few bets
Team Falcons @ 35¢ $11K — −$11K
Sharp-Crisis-Opposite
44 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Natus Vincere @ 46¢ $11K — +$12K
Skinny-Elevator
11 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Natus Vincere @ 67¢ $10K — +$5.0K
Glorious-Degree
10 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Natus Vincere @ 44¢ $8.8K — +$11K
Weekly-Service
37 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Natus Vincere @ 44¢ $7.1K — +$9.0K
Itchy-Caterpillar
196 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Team Falcons @ 49¢ $6.7K — −$6.7K
Tart-Rocket
17 settled bets Too few bets
Natus Vincere @ 68¢ $4.3K $2.2K +$1.4K
Runny-Wait-Gynaecology
117 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Team Falcons @ 57¢ $5.7K — −$5.7K
Stylish-Pattypan
228 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Natus Vincere @ 62¢ $5.6K — +$3.4K
Terrible-Pantry
11 settled bets Too few bets
Natus Vincere @ 90¢ $4.3K — +$495
Writhing-Round
69 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Team Falcons @ 48¢ $3.9K — −$3.9K
Juicy-Generosity-Hospice
4 settled bets Too few bets
Team Falcons @ 33¢ $3.6K — −$3.6K
Finished-Hail-Hill
20 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Natus Vincere @ 44¢ $3.5K — +$4.5K
Used-Moose
59 settled bets Beat the odds*
Team Falcons @ 55¢ $3.3K — −$3.3K
Personal-Harmonize
6 settled bets Too few bets
Team Falcons @ 56¢ $2.9K — −$2.9K
Massive-Refusal
5 settled bets Too few bets
Natus Vincere @ 68¢ $2.7K — +$1.3K
Melodic-Total-Fringe
14 settled bets Too few bets
Natus Vincere @ 59¢ $2.5K — +$1.7K
Enormous-Cow-Crawdad
5 settled bets Too few bets
Team Falcons @ 56¢ $2.5K — −$2.5K
Colossal-Cinnamon
23 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Natus Vincere @ 99¢ $2.5K — +$29

Where the whale money went

  1. Team Falcons lost
    $248K
    59% of whale buying · 25 buyers
  2. Natus Vincere won
    $175K
    41% of whale buying · 21 buyers · $5.9K sold

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Nov 1 to Nov 2, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” counts only trades we captured; a dash means part of the position escaped capture. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1793689244).

About this data · run 1793689244, computed 2026-11-03 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1793689244 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed