Polymarket market · Politics & macro
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
Open as of the last daily run · See it on Polymarket ↗
10 whales traded $205K on this market since Aug 31, 99% of their buying on No. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 5 minutes later would have cost 7.3¢ more per share, with 23% of the size there to buy. It hadn't resolved as of the last daily run.
The whales on this market
10 whales| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold |
|---|---|---|---|
| Roasted-Expression
6 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 77¢ | $182K | — |
| Assured-Advertising
2 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $9.0K |
| Lean-Pantyhose
5 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 82¢ | $2.5K | — |
| Opulent-Right
59 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 70¢ | $2.4K | — |
| Brown-Tragedy
10 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 74¢ | $2.0K | — |
| Unique-Primary
10 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 73¢ | $1.8K | — |
| Gifted-Ellipse
13 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 72¢ | $1.5K | — |
| Double-Scrim
3 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 25¢ | $1.3K | — |
| 0x5c29…358e
no settled record |
Yes @ 25¢ | $1.3K | — |
| Orderly-Venture
146 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
sold only | $0 | $1.1K |
Where the whale money went
-
No$193K99% of whale buying · 6 buyers · $10K sold
-
Yes$2.6K1% of whale buying · 2 buyers
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Aug 31 to Oct 27, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the run (1793084411).
More politics & macro markets the whales bet on
All Politics & macro →| Market | Whale money | Whales | Result | Last whale bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? | $78K | 16 | Won: Yes | |
| Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | $74K | 10 | Open | |
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | $113K | 29 | Open | |
| Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | $59K | 17 | Open | |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | $117K | 26 | Open | |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | $910K | 98 | Open | |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? | $543K | 23 | Open | |
| Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? | $63K | 14 | Open |
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?