Polymarket market · Politics & macro
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
Open as of the last daily run · See it on Polymarket ↗
17 whales traded $56K on this market since Aug 20, 58% of their buying on No. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 3 minutes later would have cost 1.5¢ more per share, with 100% of the size there to buy. It hadn't resolved as of the last daily run.
The whales on this market
17 whales| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attentive-Crewman
9 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 62¢ | $10K | — |
| 0xe899…0899
no settled record |
No @ 74¢ | $7.9K | — |
| 0xd5e2…c1a7
no settled record |
sold only | $0 | $5.1K |
| 0x446a…294f
no settled record |
Yes @ 30¢ | $5.0K | — |
| 0xb6be…fcfe
no settled record |
Yes @ 29¢ | $3.5K | — |
| 0x3e73…a49c
no settled record |
No @ 72¢ | $3.3K | — |
| Wobbly-Pants
26 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
sold only | $0 | $2.9K |
| 0x1e63…1066
no settled record |
Yes @ 31¢ | $2.7K | — |
| 0xf96d…214b
no settled record |
Yes @ 32¢ | $2.6K | — |
| Careful-Bunch
85 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 73¢ | $1.5K | $1.1K |
| 0xc624…ee24
no settled record |
sold only | $0 | $1.7K |
| 0x4103…1c17
no settled record |
No @ 64¢ | $1.6K | — |
| 0x1aa5…8712
no settled record |
No @ 65¢ | $1.6K | — |
| 0x1f66…1536
no settled record |
No @ 72¢ | $1.5K | — |
| Advanced-Mailer
20 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 71¢ | $1.4K | — |
| Velvety-Burn
113 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 72¢ | $1.1K | — |
| Dearest-Agenda
26 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 70¢ | $1.1K | — |
Where the whale money went
-
No$26K58% of whale buying · 9 buyers · $7.8K sold
-
Yes$18K40% of whale buying · 5 buyers · $2.9K sold
-
No$1.1K2% of whale buying · 1 buyer
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Aug 20 to Oct 25, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the run (1792911646).
More politics & macro markets the whales bet on
All Politics & macro →| Market | Whale money | Whales | Result | Last whale bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | $69K | 13 | Open | |
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | $103K | 27 | Open | |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | $602K | 63 | Open | |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | $261K | 46 | Open | |
| Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? | $207K | 39 | Open | |
| Another Fed rate hike in 2026? | $77K | 21 | Open | |
| Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? | $63K | 16 | Open | |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | $2.56M | 164 | Open |
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?