Creative-Midwife
0x79ae097215202b5d01f98e4479fb219102469a4a
Profit
−$118K
return −9.8%
Settled bets
151
$1.20M staked
Won
35.8%
95% range 29%–44%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 150 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Aug 20 – Sep 4: −$18K
Sep 4 – Sep 20: +$20K
Sep 20 – Oct 5: −$121K
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 6 | Bought Legacy
at 57¢
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs M80 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage |
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs M80 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage | $7.4K |
| Oct 6 | Bought Legacy
at 57¢
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs M80 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage |
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs M80 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage | $23K |
| Oct 6 | Bought Novak Djokovic
at 61¢
China Open: Novak Djokovic vs Alex de Minaur |
China Open: Novak Djokovic vs Alex de Minaur | $15K |
| Oct 6 | Bought Jiri Lehecka
at 23¢
Japan Open Tennis Championships: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jiri Lehecka |
Japan Open Tennis Championships: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jiri Lehecka | $1.9K |
| Oct 5 | Bought Aurora Gaming
at 65¢
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage |
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage | $11K |
| Oct 5 | Bought PARIVISION
at 37¢
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner |
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner | $2.8K |
| Oct 5 | Bought Novak Djokovic
at 44¢
China Open: Novak Djokovic vs Daniil Medvedev |
China Open: Novak Djokovic vs Daniil Medvedev | $12K |
| Oct 5 | Bought 9z
at 30¢
Counter-Strike: 9z vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage |
Counter-Strike: 9z vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage | $5.2K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.