Polymarket market · Sports

Chiefs vs. Broncos

Resolved: Broncos won · See it on Polymarket ↗

38 whales traded $369K on this market since Oct 31, 70% of their buying on Broncos. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 3 minutes later would have cost 4.7¢ less per share, with 100% of the size there to buy. Broncos won, with 70% of the whale buying on it. Of the 28 whales whose whole position we captured, 15 made +$196K and 13 lost −$66K: +$130K between them. Biggest win: Velvety-Zoologist-Tale, +$97K on Broncos. Biggest loss: Sparse-Outset, −$25K on Chiefs.

The whales on this market

biggest 25 of 38
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Velvety-Zoologist-Tale
16 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Broncos @ 44¢ $76K — +$97K
0xe015…6ffd
236 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Broncos @ 73¢ $66K — +$13K
Shoddy-Harmonise
164 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Chiefs @ 67¢ $42K — +$13K
Heavenly-Numismatist
55 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $29K —
Sparse-Outset
407 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Chiefs @ 69¢ $25K — −$25K
Functional-Knee-Beck
69 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Broncos @ 58¢ $17K — +$8.6K
Substantial-Service
1,180 settled bets Beat the odds*
Broncos @ 42¢ $12K — +$17K
Glaring-Salt
2,322 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Broncos @ 49¢ $11K — +$11K
Corrupt-Poisoning
600 settled bets Beat the odds*
Chiefs @ 42¢ $9.2K — −$6.9K
0x0f34…7684
53 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Chiefs @ 92¢ $8.0K — −$8.0K
Whirlwind-Pie
16 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Broncos @ 37¢ $7.8K — +$13K
Rotating-Beard
12 settled bets Too few bets
Chiefs @ 52¢ $6.0K — −$6.0K
Careful-Gazebo
179 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Broncos @ 52¢ $5.7K — +$5.3K
Dependable-Waterfront
542 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Broncos @ 68¢ $5.2K — +$2.4K
Overlooked-Wetsuit
57 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Broncos @ 49¢ $4.9K — +$5.1K
Tame-Ethyl
50 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Broncos @ 49¢ $4.9K — +$5.1K
Loathsome-Decade
35 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Chiefs @ 52¢ $4.3K — −$4.3K
Practical-Definition
31 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Chiefs @ 56¢ $3.8K — −$3.8K
Violet-Intent
9 settled bets Too few bets
Broncos @ 49¢ $3.0K — +$3.1K
Quirky-Woodchuck-Overload
78 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Chiefs @ 86¢ $3.0K — −$3.0K
Clueless-Variant-Porch
9 settled bets Too few bets
Broncos @ 38¢ $2.2K — +$850
Dirty-Burn
31 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Broncos @ 71¢ $2.1K — +$879
Glass-Treat
93 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Chiefs @ 76¢ $2.0K — −$2.0K
0x2892…c2b7
8 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.9K —
Round-Real
3 settled bets Too few bets
Chiefs @ 53¢ $1.8K — −$1.8K

Where the whale money went

  1. Broncos won
    $229K
    70% of whale buying · 16 buyers · $37K sold
  2. Chiefs lost
    $98K
    30% of whale buying · 16 buyers · $3.9K sold
  3. Chiefs lost
    $2.0K
    1% of whale buying · 1 buyer

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 31 to Nov 2, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” counts only trades we captured; a dash means part of the position escaped capture. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1793602824).

More sports markets the whales bet on

All Sports →
MarketWhale moneyWhales ResultLast whale bet
Nets vs. Pacers $69K 19 Won: Nets
Patriots vs. Dolphins $228K 21 Won: Patriots
Eagles vs. Commanders: O/U 42.5 $131K 3 Won: Under
Chargers vs. Rams $415K 8 Won: Rams
Spread: Commanders (-5.5) $103K 11 Won: Commanders
Titans vs. Bengals $314K 21 Won: Bengals
Cardinals vs. Cowboys $70K 12 Won: Cardinals
Spread: Commanders (-6.5) $239K 14 Won: Commanders
About this data · run 1793602824, computed 2026-11-02 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1793602824 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed