Polymarket markets

Other markets

808 Polymarket other markets drew at least $50K from 3 or more whales since Aug 20; 735 have settled. Newest whale activity first; open one to see who bet what and, once it settles, who was right.

Updated , from run 1791710133

Other, newest first

1–100 of 808
MarketWhale moneyWhales ResultLast whale bet
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? $172K 16 Open
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026? $330K 44 Open
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? $139K 22 Open
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? $88K 40 Open
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? $235K 39 Open
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? $96K 28 Open
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? $621K 72 Open
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? $62K 15 Open
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12? $170K 26 Open
Georgia vs. Alabama $126K 17 Won: Georgia
LSU vs. Kentucky $177K 10 Won: Kentucky
Xi Jinping out before 2027? $420K 46 Open
Texas vs. Oklahoma $122K 16 Won: Oklahoma
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? $161K 56 Open
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15? $123K 18 Open
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? $157K 28 Open
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? $183K 29 Open
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-10? $144K 18 Won: Yes
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs $106K 27 Won: MOUZ
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-10-10? $59K 5 Won: No
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? $251K 58 Open
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? $522K 56 Open
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-10? $115K 14 Won: Yes
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5) $114K 3 Won: MOUZ
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Vitality (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs $133K 25 Won: Vitality
Texas A&M vs. Missouri $199K 9 Won: Missouri
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? $383K 81 Open
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? $77K 23 Open
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? $67K 3 Open
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10? $57K 4 Open
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? $2.39M 117 Open
Will Amed Sportif win on 2026-10-10? $88K 5 Won: No
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? $180K 32 Open
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 9? $61K 7 Won: Yes
Will Texas enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027? $71K 7 Open
Will Dallas Cowboys win the 2026 NFC East? $51K 3 Open
Iowa vs. Washington $55K 14 Won: Iowa
Golden State Valkyries vs. Las Vegas Aces $50K 10 Won: Golden State Valkyries
Spread: BYU (-10.5) $59K 7 Won: BYU
Florida State vs. Louisville $93K 10 Won: Louisville
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? $56K 12 Open
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? $51K 8 Open
Florida State vs. Louisville: O/U 59.5 $64K 5 Won: Over
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-10-09? $53K 10 Won: Yes
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? $468K 45 Open
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31? $64K 8 Open
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-09? $260K 33 Won: No
Will SV Werder Bremen win on 2026-10-09? $78K 8 Won: No
Spread: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund (-1.5) $63K 11 Won: SV Werder Bremen
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner $185K 35 Won: Spirit
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs $917K 79 Won: Spirit
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? $101K 31 Open
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs K27 (BO3) - 1win Private Club #2: Closed Qualifier Playoffs $85K 13 Won: fnatic
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? $228K 44 Open
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? $62K 14 Open
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? $74K 28 Open
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner $120K 32 Won: Spirit
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? $391K 43 Open
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? $182K 43 Open
West Indies Tour of India T20s: India vs West Indies $73K 13 Won: West Indies
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Team Falcons (+1.5) $53K 7 Won: Spirit
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs $711K 65 Won: MOUZ
Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027? $1.23M 10 Open
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner $90K 25 Won: MOUZ
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? $80K 14 Open
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? $332K 47 Open
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner $109K 25 Won: MOUZ
Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31? $63K 15 Open
Iran leadership change by December 31? $239K 34 Open
Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028? $147K 10 Open
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs PARIVISION (+1.5) $138K 20 Won: Vitality
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs $139K 23 Won: Vitality
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Sinners (BO3) - 1win Private Club #2: Closed Qualifier Playoffs $58K 5 Won: GamerLegion
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs PARIVISION - Map 2 Winner $76K 23 Won: Vitality
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs PARIVISION - Map 1 Winner $94K 25 Won: Vitality
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31? $62K 6 Open
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs $127K 26 Won: Aurora Gaming
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? $207K 41 Won: No
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? $85K 19 Open
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? $94K 20 Open
Spread: UTSA (-6.5) $85K 5 Won: UTSA
Missouri State vs. Western Kentucky $64K 6 Won: Western Kentucky
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-10-08? $51K 11 Won: No
Spread: Arkansas State (-3.5) $80K 3 Won: South Alabama
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? $109K 13 Open
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 7? $54K 14 Won: Yes
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? $137K 11 Open
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? $117K 24 Open
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? $54K 12 Open
Jacksonville State vs. Kennesaw State $61K 9 Won: Jacksonville State
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? $74K 18 Open
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? $108K 10 Open
Will Clube do Remo win on 2026-10-07? $71K 7 Won: No
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs M80 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage $91K 15 Won: Spirit
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? $90K 19 Open
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs M80 - Map 2 Winner $208K 24 Won: Spirit
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage $281K 50 Won: PARIVISION
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winner $115K 21 Won: PARIVISION
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage $89K 13 Won: FURIA
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? $125K 26 Open

A market is listed once whales put at least $50K from 3 or more whales into it. Whale money is what they spent buying; "Won" is the outcome the market settled on. All categories · How it's measured.

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed