Polymarket market · Other
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?
Open as of the last daily run · See it on Polymarket ↗
10 whales traded $52K on this market since Oct 8, 81% of their buying on Yes. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 5 minutes later would have cost 4.0¢ more per share, with 100% of the size there to buy. It hadn't resolved as of the last daily run.
The whales on this market
10 whales| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold |
|---|---|---|---|
| Personal-Bake
36 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 51¢ | $18K | $6.9K |
| Bleak-Full
20 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 57¢ | $6.8K | — |
| Fearful-Congress
36 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 59¢ | $2.5K | $4.1K |
| Measly-Sleep
1 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 57¢ | $1.0K | $1.8K |
| Cheerful-Ephemera
72 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 41¢ | $2.1K | — |
| Remarkable-Underpass
20 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 58¢ | $2.0K | — |
| Complete-Perch
1 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 48¢ | $2.0K | — |
| Grumpy-Urn
19 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
sold only | $0 | $2.0K |
| Grubby-Chandelier
17 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 62¢ | $1.5K | — |
| 0xda76…0aa2
no settled record |
sold only | $0 | $1.0K |
Where the whale money went
-
Yes$29K81% of whale buying · 6 buyers · $11K sold
-
No$6.8K19% of whale buying · 3 buyers · $4.8K sold
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 8 to Oct 26, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the run (1793084411).
More other markets the whales bet on
All Other →| Market | Whale money | Whales | Result | Last whale bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | $530K | 59 | Open | |
| Counter-Strike: G2 vs DENDELE CS (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage | $88K | 15 | Won: DENDELE CS | |
| France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026? | $175K | 5 | Open | |
| Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-10-26? | $55K | 12 | Won: Yes | |
| Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? | $162K | 40 | Open | |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-25? | $86K | 16 | Won: Yes | |
| Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | $67K | 7 | Won: No | |
| Sevilla FC vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 2.5 | $70K | 7 | Won: Under |
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?