Polymarket market · Other

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Open as of the last daily run · See it on Polymarket ↗

20 whales put $94K into this market since Aug 23, 95% of their buying on Yes. It hadn't resolved as of the last daily run.

The whales on this market

20 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold
Tense-Precedent
11 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 82¢ $2.6K $12K
0xfffadf38a520cd5a0035ff52d7fceb436a08864b
3 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 83¢ $13K —
Bleak-Full
20 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 82¢ $13K —
0x50c9…3b6c
no settled record
Yes @ 83¢ $3.4K $3.4K
Grumpy-Urn
15 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 84¢ $1.4K $5.0K
Playful-Collateral
4 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $4.7K
0xc360…dbb2
no settled record
sold only $0 $4.3K
0x9939…c201
no settled record
Yes @ 83¢ $3.7K —
Bare-Stag
1 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 82¢ $1.6K $1.7K
Reasonable-Garden
1 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $3.3K
Monumental-Banker
1 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $3.0K
Suspicious-Strap
13 settled bets Worse than the odds
sold only $0 $2.6K
Personal-Bake
18 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 83¢ $2.5K —
Cheerful-Ephemera
56 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $2.1K
0xc978…6d3c
no settled record
No @ 17¢ $2.1K —
Determined-Valuable
15 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $2.0K
0xb48b…04eb
no settled record
sold only $0 $2.0K
0x4727…5aa5
no settled record
sold only $0 $1.4K
Exotic-Prize
3 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.3K
0x720b…37f6
no settled record
Yes @ 88¢ $1.2K —

Where the whale money went

  1. Yes
    $43K
    95% of whale buying · 9 buyers · $49K sold
  2. No
    $2.1K
    5% of whale buying · 1 buyer

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Aug 23 to Oct 9, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1791710133).

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed