Polymarket market · Other

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?

Open as of the last weekly run · See it on Polymarket ↗

14 whales put $80K into this market since Aug 24, 86% of their buying on No. It hadn't resolved as of the last weekly run.

The whales on this market

14 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold
Impassioned-Watch
11 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 90¢ $33K —
Grounded-Depression
30 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 90¢ $11K —
Steep-Visa
5 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 85¢ $6.3K —
0x92ff…94ce
no settled record
No @ 92¢ $4.5K —
0x5235…c04a
no settled record
No @ 91¢ $2.7K $1.8K
Fearless-Misnomer
34 settled bets Worse than the odds
Yes @ 12¢ $3.3K $1.1K
Scented-Eyelids
14 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $4.4K
0x25db…28de
no settled record
Yes @ 19¢ $2.7K —
Precious-Stockintrade
1 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 83¢ $2.1K —
0xa91e…09e0
no settled record
No @ 76¢ $1.4K —
Fearful-Congress
33 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $1.4K
Indelible-Comprehension
8 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.2K
Grumpy-Urn
13 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 25¢ $1.1K —
0x894e…bcd8
no settled record
sold only $0 $1.1K

Where the whale money went

  1. No
    $59K
    86% of whale buying · 7 buyers · $8.6K sold
  2. Yes
    $9.3K
    14% of whale buying · 4 buyers · $2.4K sold

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Aug 24 to Oct 9, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the weekly run. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the weekly run (1791223421).

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed