Polymarket market · Other
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
Open as of the last daily run · See it on Polymarket ↗
19 whales traded $53K on this market since Aug 25, 93% of their buying on No. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 5 minutes later would have cost 1.9¢ more per share, with 100% of the size there to buy. It hadn't resolved as of the last daily run.
The whales on this market
19 whales| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xda3f…c282
no settled record |
No @ 80¢ | $7.5K | — |
| 0x32b4…7f09
no settled record |
No @ 84¢ | $2.0K | $4.3K |
| Finished-Wind
2 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 55¢ | $6.0K | — |
| Narrow-Taxicab-Farrow
2 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 79¢ | $2.0K | $2.8K |
| Grotesque-Siding
2 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $4.1K |
| Fearless-Misnomer
38 settled bets Worse than the odds |
sold only | $0 | $4.0K |
| Indelible-Try
59 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 60¢ | $3.3K | — |
| 0x714b…d071
no settled record |
sold only | $0 | $2.4K |
| 0x866d…d337
no settled record |
sold only | $0 | $2.1K |
| 0x0f2b…665a
no settled record |
No @ 87¢ | $1.7K | — |
| 0xbc48…47bb
no settled record |
sold only | $0 | $1.4K |
| Starry-Bayou
11 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $1.4K |
| Speedy-Bartender
1 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 75¢ | $1.3K | — |
| 0x0162…3d19
no settled record |
No @ 85¢ | $1.3K | — |
| 0xe450…f0a9
no settled record |
sold only | $0 | $1.1K |
| Ample-Camp
2 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 16¢ | $1.1K | — |
| Sardonic-Lentil
37 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 81¢ | $1.1K | — |
| Needy-Cenotaph
5 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $1.1K |
| 0x438e…c499
no settled record |
Yes @ 29¢ | $1.0K | — |
Where the whale money went
-
No$26K93% of whale buying · 9 buyers · $22K sold
-
Yes$2.1K8% of whale buying · 2 buyers · $2.2K sold
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Aug 25 to Oct 17, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the run (1792393220).
More other markets the whales bet on
All Other →| Market | Whale money | Whales | Result | Last whale bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Counter-Strike: Heroic vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat III Playoffs | $76K | 16 | Won: Heroic | |
| Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club win on 2026-10-17? | $63K | 5 | Won: Yes | |
| Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5) | $52K | 10 | Won: BetBoom Team | |
| Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second? | $106K | 17 | Open | |
| Florida Atlantic vs. Army | $145K | 5 | Won: Army | |
| Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner | $51K | 7 | Won: Team Falcons | |
| Will Real Betis Balompié vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw? | $52K | 7 | Won: No | |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-17? | $151K | 24 | Won: Yes |
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?