Polymarket market · Other

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner

Resolved: Natus Vincere won · See it on Polymarket ↗

28 whales traded $101K on this market since Nov 2, 64% of their buying on Team Falcons. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 3 minutes later would have cost 5.7¢ less per share, with 100% of the size there to buy. Natus Vincere won, with 29% of the whale buying on it. Of the 17 whales whose whole position we captured, 6 made +$18K and 11 lost −$45K: −$27K between them. Biggest win: Misty-Request, +$11K on Natus Vincere. Biggest loss: Hollow-Maggot-Sense, −$15K on Team Falcons.

The whales on this market

biggest 25 of 28
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Hollow-Maggot-Sense
1,607 settled bets Beat the odds*
Team Falcons @ 58¢ $15K — −$15K
Finished-Cholesterol
82 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Team Falcons @ 60¢ $8.9K — −$8.9K
Misty-Request
263 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Natus Vincere @ 44¢ $8.8K — +$11K
Terrible-Pantry
11 settled bets Too few bets
Team Falcons @ 68¢ $2.4K $4.9K —
Wan-Membership
10 settled bets Too few bets
Team Falcons @ 59¢ $2.6K $3.2K +$631
Cautious-Backup
131 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Natus Vincere @ 60¢ $5.4K — +$589
Flaky-Integer
385 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Team Falcons @ 60¢ $5.1K — −$3.0K
Caring-User
137 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Natus Vincere @ 59¢ $4.3K — +$3.0K
Wrathful-Row
338 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Natus Vincere @ 58¢ $3.9K — +$1.0K
Pungent-Matrix
23 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Team Falcons @ 53¢ $3.7K — −$3.7K
Ill-Mind
130 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Team Falcons @ 78¢ $3.1K — −$3.1K
Finished-Hail-Hill
20 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $2.7K —
Sparse-Outset
409 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Team Falcons @ 66¢ $2.6K — −$2.6K
Wooden-Breath
90 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $2.5K —
Jittery-Hydroxyl
2 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $2.5K —
Harmonious-Pond
12 settled bets Worse than the odds
Team Falcons @ 56¢ $2.5K — −$2.5K
Canine-Corporation-Bend
55 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Team Falcons @ 60¢ $2.2K — −$2.2K
Discrete-Century
153 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Team Falcons @ 70¢ $1.7K — −$1.7K
Melodic-Total-Fringe
14 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.6K —
Grave-Principal-Pronoun
11 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.5K —
Useless-Trafficker-Packet
1 settled bets Too few bets
Team Falcons @ 54¢ $1.4K — −$1.4K
Grand-Barometer
10 settled bets Too few bets
Team Falcons @ 61¢ $1.4K — −$1.4K
Frank-Offence
27 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $1.4K —
Memorable-Apartment
17 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.3K —
Tempting-Thread-Furniture
1 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.2K —

Where the whale money went

  1. Team Falcons lost
    $48K
    64% of whale buying · 15 buyers · $9.7K sold
  2. Natus Vincere won
    $22K
    29% of whale buying · 6 buyers · $15K sold
  3. Team Falcons lost
    $5.9K
    8% of whale buying · 1 buyer

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Nov 2, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” counts only trades we captured; a dash means part of the position escaped capture. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1793689244).

About this data · run 1793689244, computed 2026-11-03 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1793689244 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed