Polymarket market · Other

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Open as of the last daily run · See it on Polymarket ↗

72 whales put $621K into this market since Aug 20, 50% of their buying on No. It hadn't resolved as of the last daily run.

The whales on this market

biggest 25 of 72
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold
Grounded-Depression
31 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 80¢ $74K $126K
0xa91e…09e0
no settled record
Yes @ 22¢ $31K $12K
Bleak-Full
20 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 75¢ $12K $25K
Mushy-Asymmetry
25 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $25K
Attached-Pump
21 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $22K
Bulky-Antler
9 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 21¢ $21K —
Determined-Percentage
5 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 73¢ $15K —
Comfortable-Span
8 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 63¢ $2.0K $13K
0x9e9f…1d38
no settled record
Yes @ 27¢ $9.8K $4.3K
Natural-Vacation
9 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 78¢ $6.4K $6.1K
Fearless-Misnomer
35 settled bets Worse than the odds
No @ 65¢ $3.2K $8.5K
0xf162…ba35
no settled record
No @ 83¢ $10K —
Determined-Valuable
15 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 34¢ $6.8K $2.9K
Firsthand-Offense
2 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $8.9K
0x25db…28de
no settled record
Yes @ 19¢ $7.2K $1.2K
Near-Familiar
6 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $8.2K
Steep-Visa
7 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 81¢ $8.1K —
Required-Spit
4 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 35¢ $7.0K —
Grand-Reasoning
8 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 20¢ $5.4K $1.1K
0x8797…bbbe
no settled record
No @ 67¢ $4.8K $1.1K
Cheerful-Ephemera
56 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 21¢ $4.2K $1.5K
Wilted-Bump
2 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $5.4K
Icy-Vicinity
1 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 76¢ $2.0K $3.2K
Common-Nitrogen
9 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $5.0K
Trusting-Bungalow
12 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 70¢ $5.0K —

Where the whale money went

  1. No
    $138K
    50% of whale buying · 21 buyers · $216K sold
  2. Yes
    $134K
    48% of whale buying · 21 buyers · $94K sold
  3. No
    $6.8K
    2% of whale buying · 2 buyers · $32K sold

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Aug 20 to Oct 11, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1791710133).

More other markets the whales bet on

All Other →
MarketWhale moneyWhales ResultLast whale bet
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? $62K 15 Open
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12? $170K 26 Open
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? $96K 28 Open
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? $235K 39 Open
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? $88K 40 Open
Georgia vs. Alabama $126K 17 Won: Georgia
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? $139K 22 Open
LSU vs. Kentucky $177K 10 Won: Kentucky
About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed