Polymarket market · Other

Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Open as of the last daily run · See it on Polymarket ↗

17 whales traded $52K on this market since Aug 27, 73% of their buying on No. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 3 minutes later would have cost 3.0¢ more per share, with 87% of the size there to buy. It hadn't resolved as of the last daily run.

The whales on this market

17 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold
0x3448…d09b
4 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 87¢ $7.0K —
Harsh-Macro
73 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 93¢ $7.0K —
0x0f35…f883
no settled record
Yes @ 10¢ $6.2K —
Careful-Bunch
85 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 85¢ $1.7K $3.0K
0x3b3d…b162
no settled record
Yes @ 14¢ $3.5K —
Gaseous-Visit-Duckling
7 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 84¢ $2.9K —
0xd640…480c
no settled record
No @ 87¢ $1.1K $1.5K
Safe-Era
1 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 85¢ $2.4K —
0x75d1…7a5f
no settled record
sold only $0 $2.1K
0xfffadf38a520cd5a0035ff52d7fceb436a08864b
4 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 90¢ $2.1K —
0xe312…e0b2
no settled record
Yes @ 11¢ $2.0K —
Rectangular-Cartridge
7 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 90¢ $1.8K —
Determined-Tomato
10 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 89¢ $1.7K —
Capital-Kiwi
4 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 88¢ $1.7K —
All-Peasant-Drug
965 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 87¢ $1.7K —
Authorized-Gazelle
2 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.2K
Shocked-Surgeon
1 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.2K

Where the whale money went

  1. No
    $31K
    73% of whale buying · 11 buyers · $9.0K sold
  2. Yes
    $12K
    27% of whale buying · 3 buyers

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Aug 27 to Oct 16, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1792134019).

About this data · run 1792134019, computed 2026-10-16 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1792134019 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed