Polymarket market · Other
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?
Open as of the last daily run · See it on Polymarket ↗
7 whales traded $52K on this market since Aug 26, 97% of their buying on No. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 3 minutes later would have cost 7.5¢ more per share, with 89% of the size there to buy. It hadn't resolved as of the last daily run.
The whales on this market
7 whales| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ample-Instance
1 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 79¢ | $35K | — |
| Flashy-Label
33 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 91¢ | $8.1K | — |
| Lone-Glutamate
4 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 92¢ | $2.6K | — |
| Attached-Example-Anesthesiologist
73 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 93¢ | $1.9K | — |
| Decisive-Ephyra
3 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 87¢ | $1.7K | — |
| Bulky-Antler
12 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 10¢ | $1.6K | — |
| 0x69c5…1e01
no settled record |
sold only | $0 | $1.5K |
Where the whale money went
-
No$49K97% of whale buying · 5 buyers
-
Yes$1.6K3% of whale buying · 1 buyer · $1.5K sold
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Aug 26 to Oct 27, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the run (1793170821).
More other markets the whales bet on
All Other →| Market | Whale money | Whales | Result | Last whale bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | $217K | 21 | Open | |
| Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage | $188K | 45 | Won: MOUZ | |
| Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TYLOO (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage | $53K | 12 | Won: FURIA | |
| Counter-Strike: Astralis vs fnatic (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 5 Playoffs | $226K | 21 | Won: fnatic | |
| Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? | $83K | 17 | Open | |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | $431K | 66 | Open | |
| Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage | $88K | 21 | Won: Vitality | |
| Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5) | $64K | 3 | Won: Vitality |
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?