Polymarket market · Other
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?
Open as of the last daily run · See it on Polymarket ↗
8 whales traded $51K on this market since Aug 23, 100% of their buying on No. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 5 minutes later would have cost 0.0¢ more per share, with 100% of the size there to buy. It hadn't resolved as of the last daily run.
The whales on this market
8 whales| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold |
|---|---|---|---|
| Creamy-Switch-Fish
1 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 95¢ | $20K | — |
| Terrific-Battleship
8 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $12K |
| 0x11fc…dc48
no settled record |
sold only | $0 | $5.5K |
| 0xa9f3…4bce
1 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $5.0K |
| Sudden-Snowstorm
53 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 95¢ | $1.9K | $2.0K |
| Exotic-Prize
9 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $1.9K |
| 0x8190…b247
no settled record |
sold only | $0 | $1.8K |
| 0xbb2b…c5ca
no settled record |
No @ 97¢ | $1.2K | — |
Where the whale money went
-
No$23K100% of whale buying · 3 buyers · $28K sold
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Aug 23 to Nov 1, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the run (1793689244).
More other markets the whales bet on
All Other →| Market | Whale money | Whales | Result | Last whale bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Fred VanVleet play for the Houston Rockets in 2026-27? | $582K | 4 | Won: No | |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | $318K | 64 | Won: No | |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | $133K | 23 | Open | |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? | $56K | 8 | Open | |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | $283K | 53 | Open | |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | $783K | 70 | Open | |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? | $63K | 11 | Open | |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | $378K | 57 | Won: Yes |