Polymarket market · Other

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Open as of the last weekly run · See it on Polymarket ↗

43 whales put $391K into this market since Aug 23, 99% of their buying on No. It hadn't resolved as of the last weekly run.

The whales on this market

biggest 25 of 43
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold
Wooden-Prescription
5 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 93¢ $41K $13K
Mild-Contingency
5 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $37K
Awesome-Availability
42 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $33K
Bleak-Full
18 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $23K
Both-Seaside-Approach
5 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $17K
Cheerful-Ephemera
50 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $15K
Attached-Example-Anesthesiologist
51 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 94¢ $14K —
Nimble-Soliloquy
6 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 94¢ $4.7K $9.3K
Recent-Icebreaker
3 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 93¢ $13K —
Stable-Fog
5 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 94¢ $13K —
Whimsical-Terminal
6 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $11K
Witty-Conviction
3 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 94¢ $11K —
0x3e35…4956
no settled record
No @ 94¢ $10K —
0x4ee4…18ef
no settled record
No @ 94¢ $10K —
Corrupt-Lark
5 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 95¢ $9.5K —
Worn-Tanker
8 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 94¢ $9.4K —
0x5d2b…cb8c
no settled record
No @ 93¢ $9.1K —
0xfb64…eb56
no settled record
No @ 96¢ $7.7K —
0xf2fc…7a15
no settled record
No @ 95¢ $7.6K —
0x6431…3542
no settled record
No @ 94¢ $5.6K —
Gaseous-Visit-Duckling
5 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 94¢ $5.2K —
0x07e1…27af
no settled record
No @ 94¢ $5.0K —
Selfish-Scratch
1 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 95¢ $5.0K —
0xd6f8…2d1d
no settled record
sold only $0 $4.8K
0x0f2b…665a
no settled record
No @ 94¢ $4.7K —

Where the whale money went

  1. No
    $213K
    99% of whale buying · 30 buyers · $175K sold
  2. Yes
    $3.2K
    2% of whale buying · 2 buyers

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Aug 23 to Oct 9, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the weekly run. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the weekly run (1791223421).

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed