Polymarket market · Other
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
Open as of the last daily run · See it on Polymarket ↗
8 whales traded $51K on this market since Aug 29, 100% of their buying on No. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 5 minutes later would have cost 0.5¢ more per share, with 100% of the size there to buy. It hadn't resolved as of the last daily run.
The whales on this market
8 whales| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0x75d1…7a5f
no settled record |
sold only | $0 | $16K |
| Attached-Example-Anesthesiologist
65 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 95¢ | $10K | — |
| 0x80f1…3ccd
no settled record |
sold only | $0 | $8.5K |
| 0x24e7…566e
no settled record |
sold only | $0 | $7.0K |
| Grounded-Depression
38 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
sold only | $0 | $3.6K |
| Comfortable-Span
7 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $2.2K |
| 0x1bad…63e9
no settled record |
No @ 91¢ | $1.5K | — |
| 0x8190…b247
no settled record |
No @ 90¢ | $1.4K | — |
Where the whale money went
-
No$13K100% of whale buying · 3 buyers · $38K sold
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Aug 29 to Oct 16, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the run (1792220425).
More other markets the whales bet on
All Other →| Market | Whale money | Whales | Result | Last whale bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31? | $56K | 11 | Open | |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? | $214K | 30 | Open | |
| Counter-Strike: NIP vs Liquid (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat III Playoffs | $54K | 15 | Won: NIP | |
| Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? | $66K | 15 | Open | |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? | $442K | 51 | Open | |
| Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | $53K | 16 | Open | |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | $537K | 60 | Open | |
| US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? | $58K | 8 | Open |