Polymarket market · Other

Northwestern vs. Oregon

Resolved: Oregon won · See it on Polymarket ↗

14 whales traded $97K on this market since Oct 31, 85% of their buying on Oregon. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 5 minutes later would have cost 0.4¢ more per share, with 97% of the size there to buy. Oregon won, with 85% of the whale buying on it. Of the 12 whales whose whole position we captured, 8 made +$44K and 4 lost −$13K: +$32K between them. Biggest win: Sardonic-Hub, +$26K on Oregon. Biggest loss: Careful-Gazebo, −$4.9K on Northwestern.

The whales on this market

14 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Sardonic-Hub
65 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Oregon @ 56¢ $33K — +$26K
Scholarly-Relay
8 settled bets Too few bets
Oregon @ 57¢ $19K — +$14K
Grounded-Iron
10 settled bets Too few bets
Oregon @ 55¢ $5.5K $10K —
0x1bc3…dc6e
39 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Oregon @ 98¢ $5.2K — +$85
Careful-Gazebo
174 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Northwestern @ 62¢ $4.9K — −$4.9K
Imaginary-Gallery
391 settled bets Beat the odds*
Northwestern @ 77¢ $3.6K — −$3.6K
Spotless-Niche
26 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Northwestern @ 63¢ $3.0K — −$3.0K
Incompatible-Membership-Giraffe
1 settled bets Too few bets
Oregon @ 58¢ $3.0K — +$2.1K
Glass-Treat
90 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Oregon @ 98¢ $2.5K — +$40
Obvious-Geyser-Cutlet
185 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Oregon @ 63¢ $2.0K — +$1.2K
Normal-High-Soy
37 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $1.5K —
Known-Hydrolyse
157 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Oregon @ 99.9¢ $1.4K — +$1
Mean-Recruit-Idea
127 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Oregon @ 98¢ $1.2K — +$19
Black-Latter
29 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Northwestern @ 62¢ $1.0K — −$1.0K

Where the whale money went

  1. Oregon won
    $73K
    85% of whale buying · 9 buyers · $11K sold
  2. Northwestern lost
    $13K
    15% of whale buying · 4 buyers

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 31, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” counts only trades we captured; a dash means part of the position escaped capture. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1793516413).

More other markets the whales bet on

All Other →
MarketWhale moneyWhales ResultLast whale bet
Will Movistar KOI win Worlds 2026? $272K 9 Won: No
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? $63K 13 Open
Minnesota vs. Indiana $170K 15 Won: Indiana
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? $81K 26 Open
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? $2.73M 140 Open
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? $2.91M 325 Open
Will AC Milan win on 2026-10-31? $256K 21 Won: Yes
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? $1.19M 123 Open
About this data · run 1793516413, computed 2026-11-01 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1793516413 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed