Polymarket market · Other
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?
Open as of the last weekly run · See it on Polymarket ↗
13 whales put $62K into this market since Aug 20, 62% of their buying on Yes. It hadn't resolved as of the last weekly run.
The whales on this market
13 whales| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold |
|---|---|---|---|
| Zesty-Disappointment
17 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $12K |
| 0x1b60…a55b
no settled record |
sold only | $0 | $11K |
| Ample-Camp
1 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 16¢ | $6.0K | $1.4K |
| Bleak-Full
18 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 85¢ | $6.3K | — |
| 0xa53e…218d
no settled record |
Yes @ 16¢ | $5.6K | — |
| Grounded-Depression
30 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 19¢ | $4.5K | $1.0K |
| Whirlwind-Maggot
13 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 86¢ | $1.5K | $1.5K |
| Fearless-Misnomer
34 settled bets Worse than the odds |
Yes @ 17¢ | $1.7K | $1.3K |
| 0x25db…28de
no settled record |
Yes @ 18¢ | $1.8K | — |
| Silent-Obsidian
2 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $1.7K |
| Sticky-Closing
2 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $1.7K |
| 0x0051…a955
no settled record |
No @ 84¢ | $1.4K | — |
| 0x2db9…33f1
no settled record |
No @ 90¢ | $1.1K | — |
Where the whale money went
-
Yes$19K62% of whale buying · 5 buyers · $3.7K sold
-
No$11K38% of whale buying · 5 buyers · $28K sold
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Aug 20 to Oct 7, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the weekly run. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the weekly run (1791223421).