Polymarket market · Other

Minnesota vs. Indiana

Resolved: Indiana won · See it on Polymarket ↗

15 whales traded $170K on this market since Oct 31, 72% of their buying on Indiana. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 4 minutes later would have cost 0.5¢ less per share, with 100% of the size there to buy. Indiana won, with 72% of the whale buying on it. Of the 14 whales whose whole position we captured, 11 made +$20K and 3 lost −$30K: −$9.7K between them. Biggest win: Corrupt-Poisoning, +$6.6K on Indiana. Biggest loss: Shoddy-Harmonise, −$29K on Minnesota.

The whales on this market

15 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Hoarse-Atom
64 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Indiana @ 90¢ $22K $41K —
Shoddy-Harmonise
153 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Minnesota @ 38¢ $29K — −$29K
Corrupt-Poisoning
573 settled bets Beat the odds*
Indiana @ 71¢ $22K — +$6.6K
Scary-Edible
1,692 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Indiana @ 64¢ $9.7K — +$5.5K
Functional-Knee-Beck
55 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Indiana @ 78¢ $9.3K — −$1.2K
Ironclad-Instructor
116 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Indiana @ 92¢ $6.0K $2.0K +$523
Prickly-Torso
53 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Indiana @ 72¢ $5.3K — −$5
Imaginary-Gallery
391 settled bets Beat the odds*
Indiana @ 78¢ $4.5K — +$1.3K
Low-Belt
24 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Indiana @ 81¢ $4.1K — +$950
Expert-Giant
39 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Indiana @ 72¢ $3.0K — +$1.1K
0x1bc3…dc6e
39 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Indiana @ 64¢ $2.9K — +$1.6K
Gleeful-Cauliflower
5,811 settled bets Beat the odds*
Indiana @ 72¢ $2.7K — +$1.0K
Sweltering-Restoration
1 settled bets Too few bets
Indiana @ 72¢ $2.6K — +$994
Cheap-Founder-Pin
5 settled bets Too few bets
Indiana @ 95¢ $2.4K — +$128
Common-Comma
23 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Indiana @ 72¢ $1.5K — +$571

Where the whale money went

  1. Indiana won
    $91K
    72% of whale buying · 14 buyers · $43K sold
  2. Minnesota lost
    $35K
    28% of whale buying · 4 buyers

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 31, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” counts only trades we captured; a dash means part of the position escaped capture. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1793516413).

More other markets the whales bet on

All Other →
MarketWhale moneyWhales ResultLast whale bet
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? $63K 13 Open
Will Movistar KOI win Worlds 2026? $272K 9 Won: No
Northwestern vs. Oregon $97K 14 Won: Oregon
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? $1.19M 123 Open
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? $81K 26 Open
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? $2.73M 140 Open
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? $2.91M 325 Open
Will AC Milan win on 2026-10-31? $256K 21 Won: Yes
About this data · run 1793516413, computed 2026-11-01 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1793516413 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed