Polymarket market · Other
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?
Resolved: Yes won · See it on Polymarket ↗
11 whales traded $61K on this market since Oct 12, 100% of their buying on Yes. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 3 minutes later would have cost 1.0¢ more per share, with 100% of the size there to buy. Yes won, with 100% of the whale buying on it. Of the 9 whales whose whole position we captured, 9 made +$3.8K and 0 lost $0: +$3.8K between them. Biggest win: Dental-Liquid, +$1.5K on Yes.
The whales on this market
11 whales| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold | Made on it |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dental-Liquid
53 settled bets Worse than the odds |
Yes @ 91¢ | $15K | — | +$1.5K |
| Sardonic-Lentil
57 settled bets Worse than the odds |
sold only | $0 | $14K | — |
| Altruistic-Gambling
12 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 94¢ | $6.3K | — | +$377 |
| Smoggy-Sunglasses
10 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 80¢ | $3.7K | $2.5K | +$885 |
| Zesty-Disappointment
39 settled bets Worse than the odds |
Yes @ 93¢ | $3.1K | $2.8K | +$20 |
| Cheerful-Ephemera
88 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 93¢ | $3.9K | — | +$310 |
| Key-Sovereignty
60 settled bets Worse than the odds |
Yes @ 90¢ | $2.6K | — | +$284 |
| 0x7678…22a3
8 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $2.0K | — |
| Smooth-Evolution
29 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 94¢ | $1.9K | — | +$120 |
| Clueless-Dugout-Tomtom
15 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 92¢ | $1.8K | — | +$160 |
| Grumpy-Cytokine
7 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 90¢ | $1.5K | — | +$164 |
Where the whale money went
-
Yes won$40K100% of whale buying · 9 buyers · $21K sold
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 12 to Oct 31, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” counts only trades we captured; a dash means part of the position escaped capture. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the run (1793516413).
More other markets the whales bet on
All Other →| Market | Whale money | Whales | Result | Last whale bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will AC Milan win on 2026-10-31? | $256K | 21 | Won: Yes | |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | $2.91M | 325 | Open | |
| Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-10-31? | $95K | 10 | Won: No | |
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-31? | $548K | 38 | Won: Yes | |
| Kansas State vs. Colorado | $101K | 14 | Won: Colorado | |
| Florida vs. Georgia | $69K | 8 | Won: Georgia | |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | $2.73M | 140 | Open | |
| Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | $208K | 25 | Open |