Polymarket market · Other
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?
Open as of the last daily run · See it on Polymarket ↗
11 whales traded $63K on this market since Aug 23, 80% of their buying on No. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 3 minutes later would have cost 1.3¢ more per share, with 70% of the size there to buy. It hadn't resolved as of the last daily run.
The whales on this market
11 whales| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attached-Example-Anesthesiologist
91 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 94¢ | $14K | — |
| Kaleidoscopic-Camp
37 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 94¢ | $11K | — |
| Downright-Website
26 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 93¢ | $9.5K | — |
| Content-Kettle-Crinoline
7 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $7.7K |
| Yellow-Dress-Ballet
28 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 6¢ | $6.6K | — |
| Lustrous-Parchment
2 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 91¢ | $4.8K | — |
| Shimmering-Reindeer
8 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $2.7K |
| 0x9377…2f06
1 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 6¢ | $2.1K | — |
| Immense-Patriot
15 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 6¢ | $1.6K | — |
| Solid-Airfare
4 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 93¢ | $1.4K | — |
| Flat-Asparagus
3 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $1.3K |
Where the whale money went
-
No$41K80% of whale buying · 5 buyers · $12K sold
-
Yes$10K20% of whale buying · 3 buyers
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Aug 23 to Nov 1, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the run (1793689244).
More other markets the whales bet on
All Other →| Market | Whale money | Whales | Result | Last whale bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | $283K | 53 | Open | |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? | $56K | 8 | Open | |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | $133K | 23 | Open | |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | $378K | 57 | Won: Yes | |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | $318K | 64 | Won: No | |
| Will there be no Hormuz agreement? | $93K | 17 | Open | |
| Will Fred VanVleet play for the Houston Rockets in 2026-27? | $582K | 4 | Won: No | |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | $51K | 8 | Open |