Polymarket market · Other
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?
Open as of the last daily run · See it on Polymarket ↗
18 whales traded $51K on this market since Aug 27, 44% of their buying on Yes. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 5 minutes later would have cost 5.0¢ more per share, with 71% of the size there to buy. It hadn't resolved as of the last daily run.
The whales on this market
18 whales| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold |
|---|---|---|---|
| Determined-Valuable
17 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
sold only | $0 | $9.2K |
| 0x0577…081f
1 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 40¢ | $5.0K | — |
| 0x5d8a…f2d9
no settled record |
No @ 53¢ | $5.0K | — |
| Feminine-Log
5 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 40¢ | $3.6K | — |
| Scratchy-Loading
4 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 61¢ | $3.2K | — |
| Real-Teaching
2 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 38¢ | $3.1K | — |
| Bleak-Full
20 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 59¢ | $2.9K | — |
| Wordy-Duel
13 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 62¢ | $2.7K | — |
| Small-Blowhole
1 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $2.5K |
| Smooth-Evolution
21 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
sold only | $0 | $2.4K |
| 0xd576…d5e3
no settled record |
sold only | $0 | $2.2K |
| Valid-Underground
9 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 67¢ | $2.1K | — |
| Grumpy-Urn
16 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 35¢ | $1.7K | — |
| Fearless-Misnomer
38 settled bets Worse than the odds |
sold only | $0 | $1.4K |
| Dreary-Arena
5 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 68¢ | $1.4K | — |
| Lone-Glutamate
4 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 74¢ | $1.1K | — |
| Attached-Pump
24 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 68¢ | $1.1K | — |
| Murky-Rhetoric
12 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $1.0K |
Where the whale money went
-
Yes$14K44% of whale buying · 7 buyers · $14K sold
-
No$13K41% of whale buying · 4 buyers · $4.6K sold
-
No$5.0K15% of whale buying · 1 buyer
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Aug 27 to Oct 20, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the run (1792479640).
More other markets the whales bet on
All Other →| Market | Whale money | Whales | Result | Last whale bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21? | $54K | 6 | Open | |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | $516K | 47 | Open | |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? | $79K | 11 | Open | |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | $694K | 81 | Open | |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | $274K | 46 | Open | |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | $112K | 15 | Open | |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | $552K | 63 | Open | |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | $2.54M | 123 | Open |
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?