Polymarket market · Other

Will Gil Vicente FC win on 2026-11-02?

Resolved: No won · See it on Polymarket ↗

8 whales traded $75K on this market since Nov 2, 81% of their buying on No. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 3 minutes later would have cost 3.3¢ more per share, with 97% of the size there to buy. No won, with 81% of the whale buying on it. Of the 7 whales whose whole position we captured, 5 made +$27K and 2 lost −$5.6K: +$21K between them. Biggest win: Front-Kilogram, +$8.3K on No. Biggest loss: Careful-Noir-Equinox, −$4.3K on Yes.

In the live feed

Polymarket whale bets
BUY $6.7K
bought No @ 65¢ → won (+$3.6K)
Curly-Dust · 33 settled bets · +$156 Can't tell from luck
BUY $13K
bought No @ 64¢ → won (+$7.4K)
Elegant-Chestnut · 39 settled bets · +$39K Can't tell from luck
BUY $15K
bought No @ 65¢ → won (+$8.3K)
Front-Kilogram · 26 settled bets · −$11K Can't tell from luck
BUY $14K
bought No @ 66¢ → won (+$7.3K)
Fond-Tongue · 41 settled bets · +$11K Can't tell from luck
BUY $7.6K
bought No @ 66¢ → won (+$4.0K)
Brisk-Clockwork-Behalf · 5,983 settled bets · −$506K Can't tell from luck

The whales on this market

8 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Front-Kilogram
26 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 65¢ $15K — +$8.3K
Fond-Tongue
41 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 66¢ $14K — +$7.3K
Elegant-Chestnut
39 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 64¢ $13K — +$7.4K
Brisk-Clockwork-Behalf
5,983 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 66¢ $11K — +$182
Plastic-Pet
111 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 35¢ $4.4K $4.3K —
Curly-Dust
33 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 65¢ $6.7K — +$3.6K
Careful-Noir-Equinox
201 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 36¢ $4.3K — −$4.3K
Scary-Edible
1,727 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 28¢ $1.3K — −$1.3K

Where the whale money went

  1. No won
    $57K
    81% of whale buying · 5 buyers
  2. Yes lost
    $14K
    19% of whale buying · 4 buyers · $4.3K sold

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Nov 2, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” counts only trades we captured; a dash means part of the position escaped capture. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1793689244).

About this data · run 1793689244, computed 2026-11-03 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1793689244 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed