Polymarket market · Other

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?

Open as of the last daily run · See it on Polymarket ↗

11 whales traded $51K on this market since Oct 29, 100% of their buying on Yes. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 4 minutes later would have cost 0.5¢ more per share, with 85% of the size there to buy. It hadn't resolved as of the last daily run.

The whales on this market

11 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold
Sticky-Closing
14 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 97¢ $12K —
Prime-Basis
8 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 99.27¢ $8.9K —
Damp-Accountant
38 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 99¢ $7.8K —
Gruesome-Uplift
4 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 98¢ $5.2K —
Dental-Liquid
52 settled bets Worse than the odds
Yes @ 99¢ $3.3K —
Zesty-Disappointment
39 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 98¢ $2.9K —
Crowded-Distance
35 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 99.15¢ $2.7K —
Sardonic-Lentil
60 settled bets Worse than the odds
Yes @ 99¢ $2.7K —
Downright-Brushing
1 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 99.1¢ $2.3K —
Vengeful-Netsuke
25 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 99.2¢ $1.9K —
Fearful-Congress
55 settled bets Beat the odds*
Yes @ 91¢ $1.2K —

Where the whale money went

  1. Yes
    $51K
    100% of whale buying · 11 buyers

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 29 to Nov 2, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1793689244).

About this data · run 1793689244, computed 2026-11-03 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1793689244 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed